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Is A.J. Brown for Bijan Robinson fair?

A.J. Brown and Bijan Robinson have been on opposite sides of 20 real dynasty trades.

Not simulations and not a calculator lining up two numbers. Every one of them is a completed trade from a public Sleeper league, graded at the player values that were current on the day it happened.

Most of those were larger deals with other pieces attached. 1 of them were straight up: A.J. Brown for Bijan Robinson, nothing else changing hands.

In 3 of these deals exactly one side had to attach something extra, split 2 to 1 between the A.J. Brown side and the Bijan Robinson side. That is too close, and too small a sample, to call either player the more valuable.

20
Deals they were both in
1
Straight up, one for one
2 / 1
One side sweetened: A.J. Brown / Bijan Robinson

What they cost today

Everything above is priced on the day each deal happened, which is the only honest way to grade a completed trade. It is not what they cost now. Today A.J. Brown prices at 5,646 and Bijan Robinson at 9,603, so the market currently rates Bijan Robinson about 1.7x the other. A pair can lean one way across its history and price the opposite way now; that gap is the whole reason to check the deal in front of you rather than the deal someone made in 2023.

Values as of 2026-07-24.

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The deals themselves

DateMarginWent with A.J. BrownWent with Bijan Robinson
2026-06-08-16%Stefon Diggs, Kenny Gainwell, Kyren Williams, 1 1stDeVonta Smith
2026-03-05+18%Ashton JeantyAlec Pierce
2026-03-05+18%Ashton JeantyAlec Pierce
2026-03-05+18%Ashton JeantyAlec Pierce
2025-11-20-10%Mason Taylor, TreVeyon Henderson, 1 later pickDJ Giddens, Mac Jones, 1 later pick
2025-07-12+9%Tetairoa McMillan
2025-05-24-16%Saquon BarkleyGarrett Wilson, 1 3rd
2025-04-25+26%Christian McCaffrey, Breece HallJosh Jacobs
2025-03-06+1%David Montgomery, 1 3rd
2025-01-04+17%Josh Jacobs, 1 2nd1 2nd, 1 later pick

Read each row as: A.J. Brown, plus anything in the third column, was traded for Bijan Robinson plus anything in the fourth. An em dash means that side sent nobody else. Margin is the value gap at that day’s prices from the side that received A.J. Brown; positive means that side came out ahead.

The whole-deal margin

Across all 20, the whole-deal value gap runs +0.2% from the side that received A.J. Brown - close to even. Read that as a measure of the entire trade, every piece included, not of these two players against each other.

Why this beats a calculator on this exact question

A calculator answers “is A.J. Brown for Bijan Robinson fair” by subtracting one number from another, and it gives every manager in your league the same answer. That tells you nothing about whether the trade closes. What closes it is whether one side has to attach a piece, and which side that usually is. The 20 deals above are the record of what leagues actually agreed to when these two were on the table together.

How trade fairness actually works →

Full trade histories

Every A.J. Brown trade · Every Bijan Robinson trade

Other matchups for these two

All players with real trade data →

Values from DynastyProcess and nflverse. Trades from public Sleeper leagues. When the data will not support a fair grade I leave it out and say so. Is this trade fair? · All players · Privacy · Terms