Read Option

Is this trade fair?

Not the way a trade calculator measures it.

I graded 17,383 dynasty trades that actually closed in real Sleeper leagues. A calculator asks for about 1.32x on a package at every tier. The market pays no such thing. Packaging for a solid starter closes at a median 1.22x. Packaging for an elite player closes at 0.85x.

The premium shrinks exactly where a calculator says it should grow. The better the player, the less the market actually pays over the sticker price.

So before you call an offer unfair, check it against what deals like it really close at.

17,383
Real trades measured
0.85x
What an elite player really costs
1.32x
What a calculator asks for
Grade your trade free Scout your league

What deals like yours actually close at

Trade shapeThe single playerCloses at (median)Middle halfReal trades
Two for oneSolid starter
worth less than 60% of an elite player
1.22x0.81x to 1.79x5,517
Two for oneVery good player
worth 60% to 100% of an elite player
1.05x0.76x to 1.21x4,153
Two for oneElite player
at or above the 95th percentile of value
0.85x0.69x to 1.04x3,174
Three or more for oneSolid starter
worth less than 60% of an elite player
1.46x1.00x to 2.19x757
Three or more for oneVery good player
worth 60% to 100% of an elite player
1.17x0.85x to 1.55x1,237
Three or more for oneElite player
at or above the 95th percentile of value
0.89x0.71x to 1.10x2,545

Ratio of the package side's total value to the single player's value, priced on the day each trade happened. Medians, not averages. Fit refreshed 2026-07-28.

The trap: more pieces is not more value

The quantity side does worse as the single player gets better. Packaging for a solid starter closes at 1.22x (5,517 real trades). Packaging for an elite player closes at 0.85x (3,174 real trades). Your depth is worth least in the one trade where you most want to spend it.

A calculator cannot tell you this, because it asks for about 1.32x at every tier. It prices the players. It does not price the fact that the manager holding the best player in the deal knows what they have.

How a trade grade should be read

Face value is where you start. Two sides can total the same and still be a bad deal, because three useful players are not interchangeable with the one player who wins you a week. That gap is what a calculator adds up versus what a league agrees to.

A grade worth reading tells you what the pieces are worth and what deals shaped like this one have closed at. Then it tells you who is across the table. I built Read Option to answer all three, and to say so when the data will not support an answer.

Look up the players in your trade

Every player with enough completed deals behind him has his own page showing what he has cost. Pairs that really do get swapped for each other get a page answering this exact question about that exact deal. Those pages come from the player index rather than the clearing fit, so they are there whether or not this page can quote a figure.

Browse every player and matchup →

The research behind this

Each of these is a permanent page, recomputed from live data, free to cite with a link back.

The Dynasty Aging Curve: What a Year Costs, by Position and Age · The Dynasty Rebuild Tax: Does Blowing It Up Actually Work? · The Perception Gap: What Calculators Ask vs What Trades Clear At · The Quantity Discount: Why More Pieces Is Worth Less

Common questions

Is this trade fair?

Judge it against what deals like it actually close at, not against a calculator total. Across 17,383 real dynasty trades, a two-for-one involving an elite player closes at a median 0.85x the star's value, while a trade calculator treats roughly 1.32x as the fair bar at every tier. The gap is not constant: packaging for a solid starter closes at 1.22x, so the premium shrinks exactly as the single player gets better.

Do two good players equal one great player in dynasty?

Less often than a calculator says, and the gap gets wider as the single player gets better. Packaging for a solid starter closes at a median 1.22x (5,517 real trades), but packaging for an elite player closes at 0.85x (3,174 real trades). The quantity side loses leverage exactly where it expects to gain it.

Why did my leaguemate accept a trade the calculator called unfair?

Because calculators price players and leagues price people. A calculator adds up both sides and asks for about 1.32x on a package. Managers holding the best player do not get that in practice, so deals a calculator flags as lopsided clear all the time.

How do you know what real dynasty trades clear at?

I grade completed trades from public Sleeper leagues using the player values that were current on the day of the trade, not today's. The figures above are medians rather than averages, because a handful of blowouts drags an average badly. Throw-ins are excluded so a bench piece cannot make a two-for-one look like a three-for-one, and no single league can dominate a bucket. The 1.32x calculator bar is the exception. That one is not my measurement, just an approximate reading of what a public calculator asks for a package, taken at each tier, where it sits close to flat.

Grade the trade in front of you

The grader is free and needs no account. Paste both sides and you get face value, the clearing read above applied to your exact shape, and an honest note when your trade sits outside what I can measure.

Open the trade grader Scout a manager instead
Values from DynastyProcess and nflverse. Trades from public Sleeper leagues. When the data will not support a fair grade I leave it out and say so. Is this trade fair? · All players · Privacy · Terms