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Is A.J. Brown for Breece Hall fair?

A.J. Brown and Breece Hall have been on opposite sides of 24 real dynasty trades.

Not simulations and not a calculator lining up two numbers. Every one of them is a completed trade from a public Sleeper league, graded at the player values that were current on the day it happened.

Most of those were larger deals with other pieces attached. 1 of them were straight up: A.J. Brown for Breece Hall, nothing else changing hands.

In 4 of these deals exactly one side had to attach something extra, split 2 to 2 between the A.J. Brown side and the Breece Hall side. That is too close, and too small a sample, to call either player the more valuable.

24
Deals they were both in
1
Straight up, one for one
2 / 2
One side sweetened: A.J. Brown / Breece Hall

What they cost today

Everything above is priced on the day each deal happened, which is the only honest way to grade a completed trade. It is not what they cost now. Today A.J. Brown prices at 5,646 and Breece Hall at 6,145, so the market currently rates Breece Hall about 1.1x the other. A pair can lean one way across its history and price the opposite way now; that gap is the whole reason to check the deal in front of you rather than the deal someone made in 2023.

Values as of 2026-07-24.

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The deals themselves

DateMarginWent with A.J. BrownWent with Breece Hall
2026-07-17-10%1 1st, 1 3rd1 1st, 1 2nd
2026-06-02-13%Jordyn Tyson, Travis Kelce, D'Andre Swift, 1 moreEvan Engram, Puka Nacua, 1 3rd
2026-04-27-7%
2026-04-09-22%Mike Evans, Christian McCaffrey, Kenneth Walker, 1 later pickJacoby Brissett, J.K. Dobbins, George Pickens, 1 more
2026-04-02+26%D'Andre Swift, 1 2ndJakobi Meyers, Cade Otton
2025-11-17+33%1 1st
2025-11-12+11%1 1st, 1 2ndGeorge Pickens
2025-10-15+5%Derrick Henry, Alvin Kamara, Chris Godwin, 4 moreJayden Reed, Troy Franklin, Jalen Coker, 1 more, 2 1sts, 1 3rd, 1 later pick
2025-09-25-39%Cooper Kupp, James CookNoah Sewell, Brian Thomas, Calvin Ridley
2024-08-28+61%Alvin Kamara

Read each row as: A.J. Brown, plus anything in the third column, was traded for Breece Hall plus anything in the fourth. An em dash means that side sent nobody else. Margin is the value gap at that day’s prices from the side that received A.J. Brown; positive means that side came out ahead.

The whole-deal margin

Across all 24, the whole-deal value gap runs +1.1% from the side that received A.J. Brown - close to even. Read that as a measure of the entire trade, every piece included, not of these two players against each other.

Why this beats a calculator on this exact question

A calculator answers “is A.J. Brown for Breece Hall fair” by subtracting one number from another, and it gives every manager in your league the same answer. That tells you nothing about whether the trade closes. What closes it is whether one side has to attach a piece, and which side that usually is. The 24 deals above are the record of what leagues actually agreed to when these two were on the table together.

How trade fairness actually works →

Full trade histories

Every A.J. Brown trade · Every Breece Hall trade

Other matchups for these two

All players with real trade data →

Values from DynastyProcess and nflverse. Trades from public Sleeper leagues. When the data will not support a fair grade I leave it out and say so. Is this trade fair? · All players · Privacy · Terms