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Is A.J. Brown for Saquon Barkley fair?

A.J. Brown and Saquon Barkley have been on opposite sides of 28 real dynasty trades.

Not simulations and not a calculator lining up two numbers. Every one of them is a completed trade from a public Sleeper league, graded at the player values that were current on the day it happened.

None of them were a straight one-for-one. Every time these two crossed, something else was attached to close it.

In 2 of these deals exactly one side had to attach something extra, split 1 to 1 between the A.J. Brown side and the Saquon Barkley side. That is too close, and too small a sample, to call either player the more valuable.

28
Deals they were both in
0
Straight up, one for one
1 / 1
One side sweetened: A.J. Brown / Saquon Barkley

What they cost today

Everything above is priced on the day each deal happened, which is the only honest way to grade a completed trade. It is not what they cost now. Today A.J. Brown prices at 5,646 and Saquon Barkley at 3,304, so the market currently rates A.J. Brown about 1.7x the other. A pair can lean one way across its history and price the opposite way now; that gap is the whole reason to check the deal in front of you rather than the deal someone made in 2023.

Values as of 2026-07-24.

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The deals themselves

DateMarginWent with A.J. BrownWent with Saquon Barkley
2026-02-14+58%1 later pick
2025-09-14+72%Ja'Marr Chase2 1sts, 2 2nds
2025-08-18+16%Jared Goff, Christian McCaffrey, Jalen HurtsJayden Daniels, Terry McLaurin, 1 1st
2025-07-03+23%Josh Jacobs, Anthony RichardsonTerry McLaurin
2025-05-13+1%Tony PollardRashod Bateman
2025-05-04+33%Jalen Hurts, Jahmyr GibbsJa'Marr Chase, 1 2nd
2025-04-12+20%Jordan Love, Treylon Burks, 1 3rd, 1 later pickTerry McLaurin, Najee Harris
2025-02-12+7%Xavier Legette, Derrick Henry, David Njoku, 3 moreSam LaPorta, Jakobi Meyers, Brandon Aiyuk, 1 1st
2024-06-08+2%Josh Allen, Zack Moss, Chase BrownJoe Flacco, Amari Cooper, Terry McLaurin, 1 more, 1 1st, 1 3rd
2024-04-30-12%Raheem Mostert, DK MetcalfGabe Davis, Zay Flowers, 1 1st

Read each row as: A.J. Brown, plus anything in the third column, was traded for Saquon Barkley plus anything in the fourth. An em dash means that side sent nobody else. Margin is the value gap at that day’s prices from the side that received A.J. Brown; positive means that side came out ahead.

The whole-deal margin

Across all 28, the whole-deal value gap runs +3.7% from the side that received A.J. Brown, so the side ending up with A.J. Brown has generally come out ahead on face value. That measures the entire trade, every piece included, not these two players against each other.

Why this beats a calculator on this exact question

A calculator answers “is A.J. Brown for Saquon Barkley fair” by subtracting one number from another, and it gives every manager in your league the same answer. That tells you nothing about whether the trade closes. What closes it is whether one side has to attach a piece, and which side that usually is. The 28 deals above are the record of what leagues actually agreed to when these two were on the table together.

How trade fairness actually works →

Full trade histories

Every A.J. Brown trade · Every Saquon Barkley trade

Other matchups for these two

All players with real trade data →

Values from DynastyProcess and nflverse. Trades from public Sleeper leagues. When the data will not support a fair grade I leave it out and say so. Is this trade fair? · All players · Privacy · Terms