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Is Antonio Gibson for Nick Chubb fair?

Antonio Gibson and Nick Chubb have been on opposite sides of 22 real dynasty trades.

Not simulations and not a calculator lining up two numbers. Every one of them is a completed trade from a public Sleeper league, graded at the player values that were current on the day it happened.

Most of those were larger deals with other pieces attached. 1 of them were straight up: Antonio Gibson for Nick Chubb, nothing else changing hands.

This is the part a calculator cannot tell you. In 4 of these deals exactly one side had to attach something extra, and 3 of those 4 times it was the Antonio Gibson side (1 the other way). The side that keeps having to add is the side holding the lesser asset, so the market has been treating Nick Chubb as the more valuable of the two.

22
Deals they were both in
1
Straight up, one for one
3 / 1
One side sweetened: Antonio Gibson / Nick Chubb

What they cost today

Everything above is priced on the day each deal happened, which is the only honest way to grade a completed trade. It is not what they cost now. Today Antonio Gibson prices at 3 and Nick Chubb at 3, so the market currently rates Antonio Gibson about 1.0x the other. A pair can lean one way across its history and price the opposite way now; that gap is the whole reason to check the deal in front of you rather than the deal someone made in 2023.

Values as of 2026-07-24.

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The deals themselves

DateMarginWent with Antonio GibsonWent with Nick Chubb
2023-11-19+22%Kenny Gainwell, Brock PurdyDeshaun Watson, Joshua Palmer, 1 3rd
2023-09-08+11%DK Metcalf, Clyde Edwards-Helaire, AJ Dillon, 1 1st, 1 3rdKeenan Allen, Joe Mixon, Michael Gallup, 1 more, 1 later pick
2023-08-01+1%Jameson Williams, Zay FlowersDeAndre Hopkins, Demetric Felton
2023-06-09-98%John Metchie, Tank BigsbyMarquez Valdes-Scantling
2023-03-25-26%Amari Cooper, Rondale Moore
2022-11-23-95%Daniel Bellinger, 1 2nd, 1 3rdFoster Moreau
2022-10-26-106%2 2nds
2022-09-15-99%
2022-08-19-6%C.J. Uzomah, 1 1stRussell Gage, 1 2nd
2022-06-14+2%Tyreek Hill, Adam Trautman, Michael Carter, 1 3rdMatthew Stafford

Read each row as: Antonio Gibson, plus anything in the third column, was traded for Nick Chubb plus anything in the fourth. An em dash means that side sent nobody else. Margin is the value gap at that day’s prices from the side that received Antonio Gibson; positive means that side came out ahead.

The whole-deal margin

Across all 22, the whole-deal value gap runs -24.9% from the side that received Antonio Gibson, so the side ending up with Nick Chubb has generally come out ahead on face value. That measures the entire trade, every piece included, not these two players against each other.

Why this beats a calculator on this exact question

A calculator answers “is Antonio Gibson for Nick Chubb fair” by subtracting one number from another, and it gives every manager in your league the same answer. That tells you nothing about whether the trade closes. What closes it is whether one side has to attach a piece, and which side that usually is. The 22 deals above are the record of what leagues actually agreed to when these two were on the table together.

How trade fairness actually works →

Full trade histories

Every Antonio Gibson trade · Every Nick Chubb trade

Other matchups for these two

All players with real trade data →

Values from DynastyProcess and nflverse. Trades from public Sleeper leagues. When the data will not support a fair grade I leave it out and say so. Is this trade fair? · All players · Privacy · Terms