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Is CeeDee Lamb for Patrick Mahomes fair?

CeeDee Lamb and Patrick Mahomes have been on opposite sides of 23 real dynasty trades.

Not simulations and not a calculator lining up two numbers. Every one of them is a completed trade from a public Sleeper league, graded at the player values that were current on the day it happened.

None of them were a straight one-for-one. Every time these two crossed, something else was attached to close it.

In 3 of these deals exactly one side had to attach something extra, split 2 to 1 between the CeeDee Lamb side and the Patrick Mahomes side. That is too close, and too small a sample, to call either player the more valuable.

23
Deals they were both in
0
Straight up, one for one
2 / 1
One side sweetened: CeeDee Lamb / Patrick Mahomes

What they cost today

Everything above is priced on the day each deal happened, which is the only honest way to grade a completed trade. It is not what they cost now. Today CeeDee Lamb prices at 9,034 and Patrick Mahomes at 4,309, so the market currently rates CeeDee Lamb about 2.1x the other. A pair can lean one way across its history and price the opposite way now; that gap is the whole reason to check the deal in front of you rather than the deal someone made in 2023.

Values as of 2026-07-24.

Grade CeeDee Lamb for Patrick Mahomes now Scout your league

The deals themselves

DateMarginWent with CeeDee LambWent with Patrick Mahomes
2026-04-29-20%Bhayshul Tuten, Zay Flowers, 1 2nd, 1 later pickJames Cook, 1 2nd, 1 3rd
2025-12-16-9%Joe BurrowMarvin Harrison, 1 1st, 1 2nd
2025-07-08-2%Will Shipley, C.J. StroudXavier Worthy, Ladd McConkey
2025-05-03+10%Kirk Cousins, Dak Prescott, Jaylen Waddle, 1 moreRome Odunze, Chris Godwin, D'Andre Swift, 1 more
2025-02-20-15%Dak PrescottCourtland Sutton, James Cook
2025-02-13-4%Jalen McMillan, Dak Prescott, 1 3rdDK Metcalf, Zay Flowers
2024-12-10-10%Breece HallXavier Worthy, Kenneth Walker
2024-12-09-10%Breece HallXavier Worthy, Kenneth Walker
2024-12-09-10%Breece HallXavier Worthy, Kenneth Walker
2024-11-20-10%Elijah Moore

Read each row as: CeeDee Lamb, plus anything in the third column, was traded for Patrick Mahomes plus anything in the fourth. An em dash means that side sent nobody else. Margin is the value gap at that day’s prices from the side that received CeeDee Lamb; positive means that side came out ahead.

The whole-deal margin

Across all 23, the whole-deal value gap runs -3.8% from the side that received CeeDee Lamb, so the side ending up with Patrick Mahomes has generally come out ahead on face value. That measures the entire trade, every piece included, not these two players against each other.

Why this beats a calculator on this exact question

A calculator answers “is CeeDee Lamb for Patrick Mahomes fair” by subtracting one number from another, and it gives every manager in your league the same answer. That tells you nothing about whether the trade closes. What closes it is whether one side has to attach a piece, and which side that usually is. The 23 deals above are the record of what leagues actually agreed to when these two were on the table together.

How trade fairness actually works →

Full trade histories

Every CeeDee Lamb trade · Every Patrick Mahomes trade

Other matchups for these two

All players with real trade data →

Values from DynastyProcess and nflverse. Trades from public Sleeper leagues. When the data will not support a fair grade I leave it out and say so. Is this trade fair? · All players · Privacy · Terms