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Is Deebo Samuel for Jaylen Waddle fair?

Deebo Samuel and Jaylen Waddle have been on opposite sides of 25 real dynasty trades.

Not simulations and not a calculator lining up two numbers. Every one of them is a completed trade from a public Sleeper league, graded at the player values that were current on the day it happened.

Most of those were larger deals with other pieces attached. 1 of them were straight up: Deebo Samuel for Jaylen Waddle, nothing else changing hands.

This is the part a calculator cannot tell you. In 4 of these deals exactly one side had to attach something extra, and 3 of those 4 times it was the Deebo Samuel side (1 the other way). The side that keeps having to add is the side holding the lesser asset, so the market has been treating Jaylen Waddle as the more valuable of the two.

25
Deals they were both in
1
Straight up, one for one
3 / 1
One side sweetened: Deebo Samuel / Jaylen Waddle

What they cost today

Everything above is priced on the day each deal happened, which is the only honest way to grade a completed trade. It is not what they cost now. Today Deebo Samuel prices at 119 and Jaylen Waddle at 4,624, so the market currently rates Jaylen Waddle about 38.9x the other. A pair can lean one way across its history and price the opposite way now; that gap is the whole reason to check the deal in front of you rather than the deal someone made in 2023.

Values as of 2026-07-24.

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The deals themselves

DateMarginWent with Deebo SamuelWent with Jaylen Waddle
2025-02-03+11%Bucky IrvingBrian Robinson
2024-12-02-34%Chris GodwinRay-Ray McCloud
2024-11-13+43%Sam LaPorta, George PickensMark Andrews, 1 3rd, 1 later pick
2024-10-01-42%Tyjae Spears
2024-05-06-14%Christian McCaffreyKendre Miller, 1 1st
2023-12-23-21%Travis Kelce, DK MetcalfPat Freiermuth, Rachaad White
2023-11-26-15%1 1st, 1 2nd, 1 3rd1 2nd, 1 3rd, 1 later pick
2023-10-07-20%Cooper Kupp, James ConnerTyler Lockett, Gus Edwards, 1 2nd
2023-09-20-33%Raheem Mostert, Rhamondre StevensonDe'Von Achane
2023-07-14-12%Russell Wilson, Davante Adams, Stefon Diggs, 2 moreRoschon Johnson, Matthew Stafford, Dawson Knox, 4 more

Read each row as: Deebo Samuel, plus anything in the third column, was traded for Jaylen Waddle plus anything in the fourth. An em dash means that side sent nobody else. Margin is the value gap at that day’s prices from the side that received Deebo Samuel; positive means that side came out ahead.

The whole-deal margin

Across all 25, the whole-deal value gap runs -12.6% from the side that received Deebo Samuel, so the side ending up with Jaylen Waddle has generally come out ahead on face value. That measures the entire trade, every piece included, not these two players against each other.

Why this beats a calculator on this exact question

A calculator answers “is Deebo Samuel for Jaylen Waddle fair” by subtracting one number from another, and it gives every manager in your league the same answer. That tells you nothing about whether the trade closes. What closes it is whether one side has to attach a piece, and which side that usually is. The 25 deals above are the record of what leagues actually agreed to when these two were on the table together.

How trade fairness actually works →

Full trade histories

Every Deebo Samuel trade · Every Jaylen Waddle trade

Other matchups for these two

All players with real trade data →

Values from DynastyProcess and nflverse. Trades from public Sleeper leagues. When the data will not support a fair grade I leave it out and say so. Is this trade fair? · All players · Privacy · Terms