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Is Ja'Marr Chase for Patrick Mahomes fair?

Ja'Marr Chase and Patrick Mahomes have been on opposite sides of 24 real dynasty trades.

Not simulations and not a calculator lining up two numbers. Every one of them is a completed trade from a public Sleeper league, graded at the player values that were current on the day it happened.

None of them were a straight one-for-one. Every time these two crossed, something else was attached to close it.

This is the part a calculator cannot tell you. In 4 of these deals exactly one side had to attach something extra, and 4 of those 4 times it was the Ja'Marr Chase side (0 the other way). The side that keeps having to add is the side holding the lesser asset, so the market has been treating Patrick Mahomes as the more valuable of the two.

24
Deals they were both in
0
Straight up, one for one
4 / 0
One side sweetened: Ja'Marr Chase / Patrick Mahomes

What they cost today

Everything above is priced on the day each deal happened, which is the only honest way to grade a completed trade. It is not what they cost now. Today Ja'Marr Chase prices at 10,232 and Patrick Mahomes at 4,309, so the market currently rates Ja'Marr Chase about 2.4x the other. A pair can lean one way across its history and price the opposite way now; that gap is the whole reason to check the deal in front of you rather than the deal someone made in 2023.

Values as of 2026-07-24.

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The deals themselves

DateMarginWent with Ja'Marr ChaseWent with Patrick Mahomes
2025-12-17-41%Kirk CousinsChris Rodriguez, Rome Odunze, 1 2nd
2025-08-27-16%Travis Hunter, Jakobi MeyersRashee Rice, Jacory Croskey-Merritt, Dont'e Thornton, 1 1st, 1 3rd
2024-07-27+39%Joe Burrow, D'Andre Swift, Chig Okonkwo, 1 2ndTravis Kelce, Diontae Johnson
2024-05-23+9%Garrett WilsonMichael Pittman, 1 3rd
2024-04-17-5%Kirk CousinsDiontae Johnson
2024-02-18-7%Davante Adams, Derrick Henry, Marquise Brown, 1 moreRhamondre Stevenson, Jake Ferguson, 1 1st
2024-01-09-4%Derek CarrMalik Willis
2024-01-05+28%
2023-11-30+13%Joe Burrow, 2 1stsJustin Jefferson
2023-11-21+13%Jameis Winston, Gerald Everett, Joe Burrow, 1 more, 1 2ndRashee Rice, Travis Kelce, Darrell Henderson, 1 more, 1 later pick

Read each row as: Ja'Marr Chase, plus anything in the third column, was traded for Patrick Mahomes plus anything in the fourth. An em dash means that side sent nobody else. Margin is the value gap at that day’s prices from the side that received Ja'Marr Chase; positive means that side came out ahead.

The whole-deal margin

Across all 24, the whole-deal value gap runs +10.2% from the side that received Ja'Marr Chase, so the side ending up with Ja'Marr Chase has generally come out ahead on face value. That measures the entire trade, every piece included, not these two players against each other.

Why this beats a calculator on this exact question

A calculator answers “is Ja'Marr Chase for Patrick Mahomes fair” by subtracting one number from another, and it gives every manager in your league the same answer. That tells you nothing about whether the trade closes. What closes it is whether one side has to attach a piece, and which side that usually is. The 24 deals above are the record of what leagues actually agreed to when these two were on the table together.

How trade fairness actually works →

Full trade histories

Every Ja'Marr Chase trade · Every Patrick Mahomes trade

Other matchups for these two

All players with real trade data →

Values from DynastyProcess and nflverse. Trades from public Sleeper leagues. When the data will not support a fair grade I leave it out and say so. Is this trade fair? · All players · Privacy · Terms