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Is Aaron Jones for J.K. Dobbins fair?

Aaron Jones and J.K. Dobbins have been on opposite sides of 37 real dynasty trades.

Not simulations and not a calculator lining up two numbers. Every one of them is a completed trade from a public Sleeper league, graded at the player values that were current on the day it happened.

Most of those were larger deals with other pieces attached. 5 of them were straight up: Aaron Jones for J.K. Dobbins, nothing else changing hands.

This is the part a calculator cannot tell you. In 6 of these deals exactly one side had to attach something extra, and 5 of those 6 times it was the J.K. Dobbins side (1 the other way). The side that keeps having to add is the side holding the lesser asset, so the market has been treating Aaron Jones as the more valuable of the two.

37
Deals they were both in
5
Straight up, one for one
1 / 5
One side sweetened: Aaron Jones / J.K. Dobbins

What they cost today

Everything above is priced on the day each deal happened, which is the only honest way to grade a completed trade. It is not what they cost now. Today Aaron Jones prices at 123 and J.K. Dobbins at 291, so the market currently rates J.K. Dobbins about 2.4x the other. A pair can lean one way across its history and price the opposite way now; that gap is the whole reason to check the deal in front of you rather than the deal someone made in 2023.

Values as of 2026-07-24.

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The deals themselves

DateMarginWent with Aaron JonesWent with J.K. Dobbins
2026-06-02+11%Efton Chism, Jalen Hurts, Zach Ertz, 10 more, 1 1st, 1 2nd, 2 later picksKirk Cousins, Demarcus Robinson, DeMario Douglas, 16 more, 1 2nd, 1 3rd
2026-05-04+21%Jacob Cowing, Sam Darnold, Isaiah Davis, 15 more, 1 3rdCeeDee Lamb, Chris Godwin, Zach Ertz, 16 more, 1 1st, 2 2nds, 1 later pick
2025-11-25-42%Tony Pollard, Rhamondre Stevenson, Kyren WilliamsDevin Neal, Garrett Wilson, Brian Robinson, 1 3rd
2025-11-06-29%Mark Andrews
2025-09-10+52%Terrance Ferguson, DJ Moore, Gardner MinshewKeon Coleman, Evan Engram
2025-08-28-12%Rashid Shaheed
2025-07-26+114%
2024-12-19-19%DeAndre Hopkins, Derrick HenryDeVonta Smith
2024-11-27-4%1 3rd
2024-11-11-14%1 1stCade Otton

Read each row as: Aaron Jones, plus anything in the third column, was traded for J.K. Dobbins plus anything in the fourth. An em dash means that side sent nobody else. Margin is the value gap at that day’s prices from the side that received Aaron Jones; positive means that side came out ahead.

The whole-deal margin

Across all 37, the whole-deal value gap runs +20.4% from the side that received Aaron Jones, so the side ending up with Aaron Jones has generally come out ahead on face value. That measures the entire trade, every piece included, not these two players against each other.

Why this beats a calculator on this exact question

A calculator answers “is Aaron Jones for J.K. Dobbins fair” by subtracting one number from another, and it gives every manager in your league the same answer. That tells you nothing about whether the trade closes. What closes it is whether one side has to attach a piece, and which side that usually is. The 37 deals above are the record of what leagues actually agreed to when these two were on the table together.

How trade fairness actually works →

Full trade histories

Every Aaron Jones trade · Every J.K. Dobbins trade

Other matchups for these two

All players with real trade data →

Values from DynastyProcess and nflverse. Trades from public Sleeper leagues. When the data will not support a fair grade I leave it out and say so. Is this trade fair? · All players · Privacy · Terms