A.J. Brown and Christian Watson have been on opposite sides of 23 real dynasty trades.
Not simulations and not a calculator lining up two numbers. Every one of them is a completed trade from a public Sleeper league, graded at the player values that were current on the day it happened.
None of them were a straight one-for-one. Every time these two crossed, something else was attached to close it.
This is the part a calculator cannot tell you. In 8 of these deals exactly one side had to attach something extra, and 8 of those 8 times it was the Christian Watson side (0 the other way). The side that keeps having to add is the side holding the lesser asset, so the market has been treating A.J. Brown as the more valuable of the two.
Everything above is priced on the day each deal happened, which is the only honest way to grade a completed trade. It is not what they cost now. Today A.J. Brown prices at 5,646 and Christian Watson at 2,036, so the market currently rates A.J. Brown about 2.8x the other. A pair can lean one way across its history and price the opposite way now; that gap is the whole reason to check the deal in front of you rather than the deal someone made in 2023.
Values as of 2026-07-24.
| Date | Margin | Went with A.J. Brown | Went with Christian Watson |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-12 | +65% | — | Parker Washington |
| 2026-04-28 | +54% | George Pickens, 1 1st, 1 2nd | Trey McBride, 1 3rd |
| 2026-04-16 | +61% | David Njoku | DJ Moore |
| 2026-02-26 | -6% | Christian McCaffrey, Justin Jefferson | DeVonta Smith, Chuba Hubbard, Cade Otton, 2 more, 1 1st, 1 2nd |
| 2026-01-21 | +26% | Chase Brown | 1 1st, 1 2nd |
| 2025-11-09 | +36% | Travis Kelce, Kareem Hunt, Matthew Stafford, 2 more | Harold Fannin, Jalen Milroe, Chimere Dike, 1 1st, 1 2nd |
| 2025-11-02 | +132% | — | 2 2nds |
| 2025-09-17 | +32% | David Montgomery | Kaleb Johnson, Christian Kirk, 1 1st |
| 2024-05-06 | -0% | Chase Claypool, Luke Musgrave, Aaron Rodgers | Gerald Everett, 2 1sts |
| 2023-12-07 | +43% | Adam Thielen, Tyreek Hill, James Conner, 1 more | Darren Waller, Mark Andrews, Marquise Brown, 1 more, 1 1st |
Read each row as: A.J. Brown, plus anything in the third column, was traded for Christian Watson plus anything in the fourth. An em dash means that side sent nobody else. Margin is the value gap at that day’s prices from the side that received A.J. Brown; positive means that side came out ahead.
Across all 23, the whole-deal value gap runs +32.1% from the side that received A.J. Brown, so the side ending up with A.J. Brown has generally come out ahead on face value. That measures the entire trade, every piece included, not these two players against each other.
A calculator answers “is A.J. Brown for Christian Watson fair” by subtracting one number from another, and it gives every manager in your league the same answer. That tells you nothing about whether the trade closes. What closes it is whether one side has to attach a piece, and which side that usually is. The 23 deals above are the record of what leagues actually agreed to when these two were on the table together.
How trade fairness actually works →
Every A.J. Brown trade · Every Christian Watson trade
All players with real trade data →