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Is A.J. Brown for Jahan Dotson fair?

A.J. Brown and Jahan Dotson have been on opposite sides of 20 real dynasty trades.

Not simulations and not a calculator lining up two numbers. Every one of them is a completed trade from a public Sleeper league, graded at the player values that were current on the day it happened.

None of them were a straight one-for-one. Every time these two crossed, something else was attached to close it.

In 3 of these deals exactly one side had to attach something extra, split 0 to 3 between the A.J. Brown side and the Jahan Dotson side. That is too close, and too small a sample, to call either player the more valuable.

20
Deals they were both in
0
Straight up, one for one
0 / 3
One side sweetened: A.J. Brown / Jahan Dotson

What they cost today

Everything above is priced on the day each deal happened, which is the only honest way to grade a completed trade. It is not what they cost now. Today A.J. Brown prices at 5,646 and Jahan Dotson at 5, so the market currently rates A.J. Brown about 1129.2x the other. A pair can lean one way across its history and price the opposite way now; that gap is the whole reason to check the deal in front of you rather than the deal someone made in 2023.

Values as of 2026-07-24.

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The deals themselves

DateMarginWent with A.J. BrownWent with Jahan Dotson
2024-10-12+72%1 1st
2024-09-24+22%Mike Williams, 2 later picksTank Dell, 1 1st, 1 2nd, 1 3rd
2024-05-21+25%Desmond Ridder, Aaron Rodgers, 1 later pickRomeo Doubs, James Cook, Will Levis, 1 3rd
2024-03-24-2%1 later pickDeVonta Smith, 2 3rds
2023-09-22+36%1 1st, 1 2nd
2023-07-19+58%George Kittle, Matt BreidaEvan Engram, Marvin Mims, 1 1st
2023-07-13+89%Tucker KraftKadarius Toney, 1 2nd, 1 3rd, 1 later pick
2023-07-12-4%Zach ErtzIrv Smith, Rachaad White, James Cook, 1 1st, 1 3rd
2023-07-02+48%Saquon BarkleySkyy Moore, Chig Okonkwo, Jahmyr Gibbs
2023-06-09+11%Zay FlowersJaxon Smith-Njigba, 1 1st, 1 2nd

Read each row as: A.J. Brown, plus anything in the third column, was traded for Jahan Dotson plus anything in the fourth. An em dash means that side sent nobody else. Margin is the value gap at that day’s prices from the side that received A.J. Brown; positive means that side came out ahead.

The whole-deal margin

Across all 20, the whole-deal value gap runs +24.7% from the side that received A.J. Brown, so the side ending up with A.J. Brown has generally come out ahead on face value. That measures the entire trade, every piece included, not these two players against each other.

Why this beats a calculator on this exact question

A calculator answers “is A.J. Brown for Jahan Dotson fair” by subtracting one number from another, and it gives every manager in your league the same answer. That tells you nothing about whether the trade closes. What closes it is whether one side has to attach a piece, and which side that usually is. The 20 deals above are the record of what leagues actually agreed to when these two were on the table together.

How trade fairness actually works →

Full trade histories

Every A.J. Brown trade · Every Jahan Dotson trade

Other matchups for these two

All players with real trade data →

Values from DynastyProcess and nflverse. Trades from public Sleeper leagues. When the data will not support a fair grade I leave it out and say so. Is this trade fair? · All players · Privacy · Terms