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Is A.J. Brown for Jaxon Smith-Njigba fair?

A.J. Brown and Jaxon Smith-Njigba have been on opposite sides of 33 real dynasty trades.

Not simulations and not a calculator lining up two numbers. Every one of them is a completed trade from a public Sleeper league, graded at the player values that were current on the day it happened.

None of them were a straight one-for-one. Every time these two crossed, something else was attached to close it.

This is the part a calculator cannot tell you. In 12 of these deals exactly one side had to attach something extra, and 8 of those 12 times it was the Jaxon Smith-Njigba side (4 the other way). The side that keeps having to add is the side holding the lesser asset, so the market has been treating A.J. Brown as the more valuable of the two.

33
Deals they were both in
0
Straight up, one for one
4 / 8
One side sweetened: A.J. Brown / Jaxon Smith-Njigba

What they cost today

Everything above is priced on the day each deal happened, which is the only honest way to grade a completed trade. It is not what they cost now. Today A.J. Brown prices at 5,646 and Jaxon Smith-Njigba at 9,739, so the market currently rates Jaxon Smith-Njigba about 1.7x the other. A pair can lean one way across its history and price the opposite way now; that gap is the whole reason to check the deal in front of you rather than the deal someone made in 2023.

Values as of 2026-07-24.

Grade A.J. Brown for Jaxon Smith-Njigba now Scout your league

The deals themselves

DateMarginWent with A.J. BrownWent with Jaxon Smith-Njigba
2026-06-18-12%Cam Skattebo, 1 1st1 2nd
2026-05-23-21%Jake Ferguson, 2 1sts
2026-02-21-16%Chase Brown
2025-10-08+13%Omarion Hampton, Tyler Warren, Hassan HaskinsBrock Bowers
2025-07-12+29%Najee Harris, Aaron Rodgers
2025-07-11+26%Rome Odunze, James Conner, Jordan MasonPat Bryant, TreVeyon Henderson, 1 2nd
2025-05-28-30%Tyler Warren, Geno Smith, Davante Adams, 1 moreSam LaPorta, Garrett Wilson
2025-04-24+30%Christian McCaffrey, 1 1st, 1 2nd1 1st, 1 3rd, 1 later pick
2025-03-22+41%Amon-Ra St. BrownBen Sinnott, 1 1st
2025-02-10-2%Aaron Jones1 3rd

Read each row as: A.J. Brown, plus anything in the third column, was traded for Jaxon Smith-Njigba plus anything in the fourth. An em dash means that side sent nobody else. Margin is the value gap at that day’s prices from the side that received A.J. Brown; positive means that side came out ahead.

The whole-deal margin

Across all 33, the whole-deal value gap runs +20.4% from the side that received A.J. Brown, so the side ending up with A.J. Brown has generally come out ahead on face value. That measures the entire trade, every piece included, not these two players against each other.

Why this beats a calculator on this exact question

A calculator answers “is A.J. Brown for Jaxon Smith-Njigba fair” by subtracting one number from another, and it gives every manager in your league the same answer. That tells you nothing about whether the trade closes. What closes it is whether one side has to attach a piece, and which side that usually is. The 33 deals above are the record of what leagues actually agreed to when these two were on the table together.

How trade fairness actually works →

Full trade histories

Every A.J. Brown trade · Every Jaxon Smith-Njigba trade

Other matchups for these two

All players with real trade data →

Values from DynastyProcess and nflverse. Trades from public Sleeper leagues. When the data will not support a fair grade I leave it out and say so. Is this trade fair? · All players · Privacy · Terms