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Is A.J. Brown for Terry McLaurin fair?

A.J. Brown and Terry McLaurin have been on opposite sides of 37 real dynasty trades.

Not simulations and not a calculator lining up two numbers. Every one of them is a completed trade from a public Sleeper league, graded at the player values that were current on the day it happened.

None of them were a straight one-for-one. Every time these two crossed, something else was attached to close it.

This is the part a calculator cannot tell you. In 4 of these deals exactly one side had to attach something extra, and 4 of those 4 times it was the Terry McLaurin side (0 the other way). The side that keeps having to add is the side holding the lesser asset, so the market has been treating A.J. Brown as the more valuable of the two.

37
Deals they were both in
0
Straight up, one for one
0 / 4
One side sweetened: A.J. Brown / Terry McLaurin

What they cost today

Everything above is priced on the day each deal happened, which is the only honest way to grade a completed trade. It is not what they cost now. Today A.J. Brown prices at 5,646 and Terry McLaurin at 1,768, so the market currently rates A.J. Brown about 3.2x the other. A pair can lean one way across its history and price the opposite way now; that gap is the whole reason to check the deal in front of you rather than the deal someone made in 2023.

Values as of 2026-07-24.

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The deals themselves

DateMarginWent with A.J. BrownWent with Terry McLaurin
2026-06-02-11%Dak Prescott, Brandin Cooks, Tua Tagovailoa, 18 more, 1 1st, 1 3rdEfton Chism, Jalen Hurts, Zach Ertz, 10 more, 1 1st, 1 2nd, 2 later picks
2026-06-02+22%Baker Mayfield, 2 3rdsDak Prescott, David Njoku, 1 3rd
2026-05-17-19%Sam Darnold, Devin Singletary, Michael Wilson, 17 more, 2 1sts, 1 later pickCooper Rush, Ja'Marr Chase, Jalen Tolbert, 19 more, 1 2nd, 2 3rds, 1 later pick
2026-05-01-9%Caleb Williams, 1 2nd, 1 3rdJayden Daniels, 1 1st, 1 3rd
2026-02-10+87%Brashard SmithJaylen Warren
2025-11-16+32%Kimani Vidal, George Kittle, Tee HigginsIsaiah Likely, 2 1sts, 2 2nds, 1 3rd
2025-08-18+16%Jared Goff, Christian McCaffrey, Jalen HurtsJayden Daniels, Saquon Barkley, 1 1st
2025-07-03+23%Josh Jacobs, Anthony RichardsonSaquon Barkley
2025-05-27-1%Xavier Restrepo, Mike Evans, Chig Okonkwo, 1 3rdCedric Tillman, Emeka Egbuka, 1 1st
2025-04-12+20%Jordan Love, Treylon Burks, 1 3rd, 1 later pickSaquon Barkley, Najee Harris

Read each row as: A.J. Brown, plus anything in the third column, was traded for Terry McLaurin plus anything in the fourth. An em dash means that side sent nobody else. Margin is the value gap at that day’s prices from the side that received A.J. Brown; positive means that side came out ahead.

The whole-deal margin

Across all 37, the whole-deal value gap runs +15.3% from the side that received A.J. Brown, so the side ending up with A.J. Brown has generally come out ahead on face value. That measures the entire trade, every piece included, not these two players against each other.

Why this beats a calculator on this exact question

A calculator answers “is A.J. Brown for Terry McLaurin fair” by subtracting one number from another, and it gives every manager in your league the same answer. That tells you nothing about whether the trade closes. What closes it is whether one side has to attach a piece, and which side that usually is. The 37 deals above are the record of what leagues actually agreed to when these two were on the table together.

How trade fairness actually works →

Full trade histories

Every A.J. Brown trade · Every Terry McLaurin trade

Other matchups for these two

All players with real trade data →

Values from DynastyProcess and nflverse. Trades from public Sleeper leagues. When the data will not support a fair grade I leave it out and say so. Is this trade fair? · All players · Privacy · Terms