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Is AJ Dillon for Javonte Williams fair?

AJ Dillon and Javonte Williams have been on opposite sides of 22 real dynasty trades.

Not simulations and not a calculator lining up two numbers. Every one of them is a completed trade from a public Sleeper league, graded at the player values that were current on the day it happened.

Most of those were larger deals with other pieces attached. 1 of them were straight up: AJ Dillon for Javonte Williams, nothing else changing hands.

This is the part a calculator cannot tell you. In 4 of these deals exactly one side had to attach something extra, and 3 of those 4 times it was the AJ Dillon side (1 the other way). The side that keeps having to add is the side holding the lesser asset, so the market has been treating Javonte Williams as the more valuable of the two.

22
Deals they were both in
1
Straight up, one for one
3 / 1
One side sweetened: AJ Dillon / Javonte Williams

What they cost today

Everything above is priced on the day each deal happened, which is the only honest way to grade a completed trade. It is not what they cost now. Today AJ Dillon prices at 2 and Javonte Williams at 2,090, so the market currently rates Javonte Williams about 1045.0x the other. A pair can lean one way across its history and price the opposite way now; that gap is the whole reason to check the deal in front of you rather than the deal someone made in 2023.

Values as of 2026-09-04.

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The deals themselves

DateMarginWent with AJ DillonWent with Javonte Williams
2023-12-12-41%Kirk Cousins, Jerome Ford, 1 3rdGardner Minshew
2023-11-15-8%CeeDee Lamb, Nico Collins, C.J. StroudJoe Burrow, De'Von Achane, 1 1st
2023-10-11-4%Isaiah McDuffie, Christian Young, Jaire Alexander, 57 moreJerry Jeudy, Jaleel McLaughlin, PJ Mustipher, 64 more
2023-06-04-72%Jameson Williams, 1 3rd1 1st
2023-06-01+11%Christian WatsonJayden Reed, Samaje Perine
2023-05-30+31%Cooper Kupp, Diontae JohnsonEric Gray, Zach Ertz, Samaje Perine
2023-05-01-10%2 1stsJustin Herbert
2023-03-27-11%DJ Moore, 1 3rdCourtland Sutton, 1 later pick
2023-03-18-10%DK Metcalf, 1 3rdChristian Kirk, Elijah Moore
2022-12-04+2%1 1st, 1 3rd1 2nd, 1 3rd

Read each row as: AJ Dillon, plus anything in the third column, was traded for Javonte Williams plus anything in the fourth. An em dash means that side sent nobody else. Margin is the value gap at that day’s prices from the side that received AJ Dillon; positive means that side came out ahead.

The whole-deal margin

Across all 22, the whole-deal value gap runs -9.3% from the side that received AJ Dillon, so the side ending up with Javonte Williams has generally come out ahead on face value. That measures the entire trade, every piece included, not these two players against each other.

Why this beats a calculator on this exact question

A calculator answers “is AJ Dillon for Javonte Williams fair” by subtracting one number from another, and it gives every manager in your league the same answer. That tells you nothing about whether the trade closes. What closes it is whether one side has to attach a piece, and which side that usually is. The 22 deals above are the record of what leagues actually agreed to when these two were on the table together.

How trade fairness actually works →

Full trade histories

Every AJ Dillon trade · Every Javonte Williams trade

Other matchups for these two

All players with real trade data →

Values from DynastyProcess and nflverse. Trades from public Sleeper leagues. When the data will not support a fair grade I leave it out and say so. Is this trade fair? · All players · Research · Privacy · Terms