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Is AJ Dillon for Joe Mixon fair?

AJ Dillon and Joe Mixon have been on opposite sides of 21 real dynasty trades.

Not simulations and not a calculator lining up two numbers. Every one of them is a completed trade from a public Sleeper league, graded at the player values that were current on the day it happened.

None of them were a straight one-for-one. Every time these two crossed, something else was attached to close it.

In 2 of these deals exactly one side had to attach something extra, split 2 to 0 between the AJ Dillon side and the Joe Mixon side. That is too close, and too small a sample, to call either player the more valuable.

21
Deals they were both in
0
Straight up, one for one
2 / 0
One side sweetened: AJ Dillon / Joe Mixon

What they cost today

Everything above is priced on the day each deal happened, which is the only honest way to grade a completed trade. It is not what they cost now. Today AJ Dillon prices at 2 and Joe Mixon at 5, so the market currently rates Joe Mixon about 2.5x the other. A pair can lean one way across its history and price the opposite way now; that gap is the whole reason to check the deal in front of you rather than the deal someone made in 2023.

Values as of 2026-07-24.

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The deals themselves

DateMarginWent with AJ DillonWent with Joe Mixon
2025-04-27-60%Jaylen Wright, 1 1st, 1 2ndChase Brown, 1 1st, 1 later pick
2023-09-13-44%Michael Wilson, Jalin Hyatt
2023-09-09-35%Sam Darnold, Miles Sanders, Kadarius Toney, 1 more1 1st, 1 3rd
2023-09-08+11%DK Metcalf, Clyde Edwards-Helaire, Antonio Gibson, 1 1st, 1 3rdKeenan Allen, Nick Chubb, Michael Gallup, 1 more, 1 later pick
2023-08-17+31%Aaron Jones, 1 3rdZamir White, 1 2nd, 1 later pick
2023-05-19-20%Dallas Goedert, Christian Watson, 4 1stsTravis Kelce, Adam Thielen, Christian McCaffrey, 1 more
2023-04-30+44%D'Andre Swift, 1 1st, 1 2ndLamar Jackson
2023-04-15+58%Chris Godwin, 1 1st, 1 2ndMike Evans, Jordan Love
2022-11-09-39%Jared Goff, Tyler Conklin, 4 1stsJosh Allen, Mark Andrews
2022-10-30+22%Cam Akers, Christian Watson, 1 1stJamaal Williams

Read each row as: AJ Dillon, plus anything in the third column, was traded for Joe Mixon plus anything in the fourth. An em dash means that side sent nobody else. Margin is the value gap at that day’s prices from the side that received AJ Dillon; positive means that side came out ahead.

The whole-deal margin

Across all 21, the whole-deal value gap runs -8.8% from the side that received AJ Dillon, so the side ending up with Joe Mixon has generally come out ahead on face value. That measures the entire trade, every piece included, not these two players against each other.

Why this beats a calculator on this exact question

A calculator answers “is AJ Dillon for Joe Mixon fair” by subtracting one number from another, and it gives every manager in your league the same answer. That tells you nothing about whether the trade closes. What closes it is whether one side has to attach a piece, and which side that usually is. The 21 deals above are the record of what leagues actually agreed to when these two were on the table together.

How trade fairness actually works →

Full trade histories

Every AJ Dillon trade · Every Joe Mixon trade

Other matchups for these two

All players with real trade data →

Values from DynastyProcess and nflverse. Trades from public Sleeper leagues. When the data will not support a fair grade I leave it out and say so. Is this trade fair? · All players · Privacy · Terms