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Is AJ Dillon for Josh Jacobs fair?

AJ Dillon and Josh Jacobs have been on opposite sides of 21 real dynasty trades.

Not simulations and not a calculator lining up two numbers. Every one of them is a completed trade from a public Sleeper league, graded at the player values that were current on the day it happened.

None of them were a straight one-for-one. Every time these two crossed, something else was attached to close it.

This is the part a calculator cannot tell you. In 6 of these deals exactly one side had to attach something extra, and 5 of those 6 times it was the AJ Dillon side (1 the other way). The side that keeps having to add is the side holding the lesser asset, so the market has been treating Josh Jacobs as the more valuable of the two.

21
Deals they were both in
0
Straight up, one for one
5 / 1
One side sweetened: AJ Dillon / Josh Jacobs

What they cost today

Everything above is priced on the day each deal happened, which is the only honest way to grade a completed trade. It is not what they cost now. Today AJ Dillon prices at 2 and Josh Jacobs at 1,583, so the market currently rates Josh Jacobs about 791.5x the other. A pair can lean one way across its history and price the opposite way now; that gap is the whole reason to check the deal in front of you rather than the deal someone made in 2023.

Values as of 2026-07-24.

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The deals themselves

DateMarginWent with AJ DillonWent with Josh Jacobs
2024-01-08-64%Aaron Jones, Devin Singletary1 3rd
2023-10-16-16%1 1st
2023-10-08-5%Diontae Johnson, 1 1st1 3rd, 1 later pick
2023-10-03-13%Raheem Mostert, David Njoku, Aaron Jones, 1 more, 2 2ndsGeno Smith, Mike Evans, Isiah Pacheco
2023-04-09-104%Dallas GoedertDaniel Bellinger, 1 1st
2023-03-15-30%Marquise Brown
2022-11-20+43%1 1st
2022-10-24+111%Breece Hall, 1 1stRhamondre Stevenson
2022-10-23-1%Christian Watson, 2 1stsDeebo Samuel
2022-10-09+15%Albert Okwuegbunam, Trey Lance, Chris Olave, 1 1st, 1 2ndJamaal Williams, Jaylen Waddle, Aaron Rodgers

Read each row as: AJ Dillon, plus anything in the third column, was traded for Josh Jacobs plus anything in the fourth. An em dash means that side sent nobody else. Margin is the value gap at that day’s prices from the side that received AJ Dillon; positive means that side came out ahead.

The whole-deal margin

Across all 21, the whole-deal value gap runs -10.3% from the side that received AJ Dillon, so the side ending up with Josh Jacobs has generally come out ahead on face value. That measures the entire trade, every piece included, not these two players against each other.

Why this beats a calculator on this exact question

A calculator answers “is AJ Dillon for Josh Jacobs fair” by subtracting one number from another, and it gives every manager in your league the same answer. That tells you nothing about whether the trade closes. What closes it is whether one side has to attach a piece, and which side that usually is. The 21 deals above are the record of what leagues actually agreed to when these two were on the table together.

How trade fairness actually works →

Full trade histories

Every AJ Dillon trade · Every Josh Jacobs trade

Other matchups for these two

All players with real trade data →

Values from DynastyProcess and nflverse. Trades from public Sleeper leagues. When the data will not support a fair grade I leave it out and say so. Is this trade fair? · All players · Privacy · Terms