AJ Dillon and Nick Chubb have been on opposite sides of 20 real dynasty trades.
Not simulations and not a calculator lining up two numbers. Every one of them is a completed trade from a public Sleeper league, graded at the player values that were current on the day it happened.
None of them were a straight one-for-one. Every time these two crossed, something else was attached to close it.
This is the part a calculator cannot tell you. In 6 of these deals exactly one side had to attach something extra, and 6 of those 6 times it was the AJ Dillon side (0 the other way). The side that keeps having to add is the side holding the lesser asset, so the market has been treating Nick Chubb as the more valuable of the two.
| Date | Margin | Went with AJ Dillon | Went with Nick Chubb |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-01 | +56% | Dalton Kincaid, Ja'Lynn Polk | Kyle Pitts, 1 2nd |
| 2023-10-09 | -11% | David Montgomery, Diontae Johnson, 2 1sts | Roschon Johnson, Garrett Wilson |
| 2023-09-08 | +11% | DK Metcalf, Clyde Edwards-Helaire, Antonio Gibson, 1 1st, 1 3rd | Keenan Allen, Joe Mixon, Michael Gallup, 1 more, 1 later pick |
| 2023-09-01 | -24% | 1 1st, 1 2nd | — |
| 2023-08-17 | -15% | Derrick Henry | — |
| 2023-05-25 | +0% | 1 1st, 1 2nd | — |
| 2023-01-09 | -0% | Jelani Woods, 1 1st | — |
| 2022-10-30 | -19% | 1 1st | 1 3rd |
| 2022-10-22 | -38% | Elijah Moore | — |
| 2022-10-13 | +3% | Gerald Everett, Michael Pittman, 1 1st | Tyreek Hill |
Read each row as: AJ Dillon, plus anything in the third column, was traded for Nick Chubb plus anything in the fourth. An em dash means that side sent nobody else. Margin is the value gap at that day’s prices from the side that received AJ Dillon; positive means that side came out ahead.
Across all 20, the whole-deal value gap runs -17.6% from the side that received AJ Dillon, so the side ending up with Nick Chubb has generally come out ahead on face value. That measures the entire trade, every piece included, not these two players against each other.
A calculator answers “is AJ Dillon for Nick Chubb fair” by subtracting one number from another, and it gives every manager in your league the same answer. That tells you nothing about whether the trade closes. What closes it is whether one side has to attach a piece, and which side that usually is. The 20 deals above are the record of what leagues actually agreed to when these two were on the table together.
How trade fairness actually works →
Every AJ Dillon trade · Every Nick Chubb trade
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