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Is AJ Dillon for Saquon Barkley fair?

AJ Dillon and Saquon Barkley have been on opposite sides of 23 real dynasty trades.

Not simulations and not a calculator lining up two numbers. Every one of them is a completed trade from a public Sleeper league, graded at the player values that were current on the day it happened.

None of them were a straight one-for-one. Every time these two crossed, something else was attached to close it.

This is the part a calculator cannot tell you. In 4 of these deals exactly one side had to attach something extra, and 4 of those 4 times it was the AJ Dillon side (0 the other way). The side that keeps having to add is the side holding the lesser asset, so the market has been treating Saquon Barkley as the more valuable of the two.

23
Deals they were both in
0
Straight up, one for one
4 / 0
One side sweetened: AJ Dillon / Saquon Barkley

What they cost today

Everything above is priced on the day each deal happened, which is the only honest way to grade a completed trade. It is not what they cost now. Today AJ Dillon prices at 2 and Saquon Barkley at 3,304, so the market currently rates Saquon Barkley about 1652.0x the other. A pair can lean one way across its history and price the opposite way now; that gap is the whole reason to check the deal in front of you rather than the deal someone made in 2023.

Values as of 2026-07-24.

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The deals themselves

DateMarginWent with AJ DillonWent with Saquon Barkley
2025-05-30+13%Audric Estime, Jahan Dotson, Zach Wilson, 11 more, 2 1sts, 2 2nds, 2 3rds, 1 later pickBucky Irving, Jerry Jeudy, Devin Singletary, 14 more, 1 3rd, 1 later pick
2024-06-18-23%Brian Thomas, Jared Goff, Kyren WilliamsJayden Reed, J.K. Dobbins, Brock Purdy
2024-04-15-17%Marquise Brown, Daniel Jones, Joshua Palmer, 1 moreMike Evans, 2 2nds
2024-02-02+43%Chris Godwin, Mike Williams, Noah Fant, 5 more, 2 1sts, 1 2ndKeenan Allen, Mike Evans, Jared Goff, 4 more
2023-08-08-82%Aaron Jones, Jonathan Owens, 1 2ndMichael Carter
2023-04-23-67%Cam Taylor-Britt, 1 1st, 1 2nd, 1 3rd1 later pick
2023-04-14-110%Evan Engram, Jordan LoveDJ Moore, 2 2nds
2022-11-27-16%Joe Mixon
2022-11-13-17%Amon-Ra St. Brown, 1 2nd
2022-08-18-61%Jakobi Meyers, Mac Jones, Rhamondre Stevenson, 1 more, 1 1stBrandin Cooks, Matt Ryan, Stefon Diggs, 1 more

Read each row as: AJ Dillon, plus anything in the third column, was traded for Saquon Barkley plus anything in the fourth. An em dash means that side sent nobody else. Margin is the value gap at that day’s prices from the side that received AJ Dillon; positive means that side came out ahead.

The whole-deal margin

Across all 23, the whole-deal value gap runs -23.1% from the side that received AJ Dillon, so the side ending up with Saquon Barkley has generally come out ahead on face value. That measures the entire trade, every piece included, not these two players against each other.

Why this beats a calculator on this exact question

A calculator answers “is AJ Dillon for Saquon Barkley fair” by subtracting one number from another, and it gives every manager in your league the same answer. That tells you nothing about whether the trade closes. What closes it is whether one side has to attach a piece, and which side that usually is. The 23 deals above are the record of what leagues actually agreed to when these two were on the table together.

How trade fairness actually works →

Full trade histories

Every AJ Dillon trade · Every Saquon Barkley trade

Other matchups for these two

All players with real trade data →

Values from DynastyProcess and nflverse. Trades from public Sleeper leagues. When the data will not support a fair grade I leave it out and say so. Is this trade fair? · All players · Privacy · Terms