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Is Alvin Kamara for Gabe Davis fair?

Alvin Kamara and Gabe Davis have been on opposite sides of 20 real dynasty trades.

Not simulations and not a calculator lining up two numbers. Every one of them is a completed trade from a public Sleeper league, graded at the player values that were current on the day it happened.

None of them were a straight one-for-one. Every time these two crossed, something else was attached to close it.

This is the part a calculator cannot tell you. In 8 of these deals exactly one side had to attach something extra, and 8 of those 8 times it was the Gabe Davis side (0 the other way). The side that keeps having to add is the side holding the lesser asset, so the market has been treating Alvin Kamara as the more valuable of the two.

20
Deals they were both in
0
Straight up, one for one
0 / 8
One side sweetened: Alvin Kamara / Gabe Davis
Grade Alvin Kamara for Gabe Davis now Scout your league

The deals themselves

DateMarginWent with Alvin KamaraWent with Gabe Davis
2024-09-04-70%Jalin HyattDeebo Samuel
2024-06-19+116%1 3rd
2024-05-30+32%Travis Kelce, Noah BrownDarren Waller, Javonte Williams, 1 2nd
2024-04-01+71%Tyler Boyd, D'Onta Foreman, 1 later pickKendre Miller
2023-11-22+109%1 3rd2 3rds
2023-10-04-9%1 3rd1 2nd
2023-09-20-61%1 later pickKhalil Herbert, 1 2nd
2023-08-04-45%Eric Gray, Dalton SchultzCam Akers
2023-03-17-30%Mike Williams, Allen LazardTreylon Burks
2022-11-02-28%1 1st

Read each row as: Alvin Kamara, plus anything in the third column, was traded for Gabe Davis plus anything in the fourth. An em dash means that side sent nobody else. Margin is the value gap at that day’s prices from the side that received Alvin Kamara; positive means that side came out ahead.

The whole-deal margin

Across all 20, the whole-deal value gap runs +53.2% from the side that received Alvin Kamara, so the side ending up with Alvin Kamara has generally come out ahead on face value. That measures the entire trade, every piece included, not these two players against each other.

Why this beats a calculator on this exact question

A calculator answers “is Alvin Kamara for Gabe Davis fair” by subtracting one number from another, and it gives every manager in your league the same answer. That tells you nothing about whether the trade closes. What closes it is whether one side has to attach a piece, and which side that usually is. The 20 deals above are the record of what leagues actually agreed to when these two were on the table together.

How trade fairness actually works →

Full trade histories

Every Alvin Kamara trade · Every Gabe Davis trade

Other matchups for these two

All players with real trade data →

Values from DynastyProcess and nflverse. Trades from public Sleeper leagues. When the data will not support a fair grade I leave it out and say so. Is this trade fair? · All players · Research · Privacy · Terms