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Is Breece Hall for Christian McCaffrey fair?

Breece Hall and Christian McCaffrey have been on opposite sides of 45 real dynasty trades.

Not simulations and not a calculator lining up two numbers. Every one of them is a completed trade from a public Sleeper league, graded at the player values that were current on the day it happened.

Most of those were larger deals with other pieces attached. 4 of them were straight up: Breece Hall for Christian McCaffrey, nothing else changing hands.

This is the part a calculator cannot tell you. In 5 of these deals exactly one side had to attach something extra, and 3 of those 5 times it was the Breece Hall side (2 the other way). The side that keeps having to add is the side holding the lesser asset, so the market has been treating Christian McCaffrey as the more valuable of the two.

45
Deals they were both in
4
Straight up, one for one
3 / 2
One side sweetened: Breece Hall / Christian McCaffrey

What they cost today

Everything above is priced on the day each deal happened, which is the only honest way to grade a completed trade. It is not what they cost now. Today Breece Hall prices at 6,145 and Christian McCaffrey at 4,381, so the market currently rates Breece Hall about 1.4x the other. A pair can lean one way across its history and price the opposite way now; that gap is the whole reason to check the deal in front of you rather than the deal someone made in 2023.

Values as of 2026-07-24.

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The deals themselves

DateMarginWent with Breece HallWent with Christian McCaffrey
2026-07-22+88%James Conner, Tucker Kraft, Andrei Iosivas, 15 more, 1 later pickCeeDee Lamb, Davis Mills, Matthew Stafford, 16 more, 1 1st, 1 2nd, 2 3rds, 2 later picks
2026-06-19+11%Caleb Williams, Dallas Goedert, Zay FlowersJustin Herbert, Tee Higgins
2026-04-23+20%
2026-04-09+22%Jacoby Brissett, J.K. Dobbins, George Pickens, 1 moreMike Evans, A.J. Brown, Kenneth Walker, 1 later pick
2026-04-03+4%Braelon AllenEmari Demercado, 1 later pick
2025-12-17+17%Xavier Worthy, Sam Darnold, 1 1stDak Prescott, 1 3rd
2025-11-27+24%Jayden Reed1 3rd
2025-11-18+14%3 2nds, 1 3rdTravis Kelce
2025-09-28+39%1 1st, 2 2nds, 1 3rdDerrick Henry
2025-09-23+101%Tee Higgins, 1 2nd

Read each row as: Breece Hall, plus anything in the third column, was traded for Christian McCaffrey plus anything in the fourth. An em dash means that side sent nobody else. Margin is the value gap at that day’s prices from the side that received Breece Hall; positive means that side came out ahead.

The whole-deal margin

Across all 45, the whole-deal value gap runs +15.7% from the side that received Breece Hall, so the side ending up with Breece Hall has generally come out ahead on face value. That measures the entire trade, every piece included, not these two players against each other.

Why this beats a calculator on this exact question

A calculator answers “is Breece Hall for Christian McCaffrey fair” by subtracting one number from another, and it gives every manager in your league the same answer. That tells you nothing about whether the trade closes. What closes it is whether one side has to attach a piece, and which side that usually is. The 45 deals above are the record of what leagues actually agreed to when these two were on the table together.

How trade fairness actually works →

Full trade histories

Every Breece Hall trade · Every Christian McCaffrey trade

Other matchups for these two

All players with real trade data →

Values from DynastyProcess and nflverse. Trades from public Sleeper leagues. When the data will not support a fair grade I leave it out and say so. Is this trade fair? · All players · Privacy · Terms