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Is Brian Thomas for Jaylen Waddle fair?

Brian Thomas and Jaylen Waddle have been on opposite sides of 22 real dynasty trades.

Not simulations and not a calculator lining up two numbers. Every one of them is a completed trade from a public Sleeper league, graded at the player values that were current on the day it happened.

None of them were a straight one-for-one. Every time these two crossed, something else was attached to close it.

This is the part a calculator cannot tell you. In 5 of these deals exactly one side had to attach something extra, and 4 of those 5 times it was the Jaylen Waddle side (1 the other way). The side that keeps having to add is the side holding the lesser asset, so the market has been treating Brian Thomas as the more valuable of the two.

22
Deals they were both in
0
Straight up, one for one
1 / 4
One side sweetened: Brian Thomas / Jaylen Waddle

What they cost today

Everything above is priced on the day each deal happened, which is the only honest way to grade a completed trade. It is not what they cost now. Today Brian Thomas prices at 2,662 and Jaylen Waddle at 4,624, so the market currently rates Jaylen Waddle about 1.7x the other. A pair can lean one way across its history and price the opposite way now; that gap is the whole reason to check the deal in front of you rather than the deal someone made in 2023.

Values as of 2026-07-24.

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The deals themselves

DateMarginWent with Brian ThomasWent with Jaylen Waddle
2026-07-02-0%Kyle Pitts, Khalil Shakir, Jaxon Smith-Njigba, 16 more, 2 later picksSam Darnold, Trey Benson, Terrance Ferguson, 16 more, 2 1sts
2026-05-01-64%Jack Bech, Kaleb Johnson, Tyler Shough, 2 later picksRJ Harvey, DeVonta Smith
2026-04-16+22%Khalil Shakir, Brenton Strange, 1 2ndDJ Moore, 1 3rd
2026-04-14-4%David Montgomery, Tee HigginsRomeo Doubs, Kyren Williams, 1 3rd
2026-04-09-34%1 later pick
2025-11-15+29%Jalen RoyalsAlec Pierce
2025-11-13+12%1 later pickZach Charbonnet
2025-11-12+3%Kimani Vidal, Oronde Gadsden, C.J. Stroud, 1 1stBo Nix, Chris Olave, Chase Brown
2025-11-09-32%Dillon Gabriel, Terrance Ferguson, 1 1st, 1 2ndJosh Jacobs, De'Von Achane
2025-11-05-11%Jalen Coker, Darnell Washington, Tucker Kraft, 1 2ndGunnar Helm, Kaleb Johnson, 2 1sts, 1 later pick

Read each row as: Brian Thomas, plus anything in the third column, was traded for Jaylen Waddle plus anything in the fourth. An em dash means that side sent nobody else. Margin is the value gap at that day’s prices from the side that received Brian Thomas; positive means that side came out ahead.

The whole-deal margin

Across all 22, the whole-deal value gap runs -7.4% from the side that received Brian Thomas, so the side ending up with Jaylen Waddle has generally come out ahead on face value. That measures the entire trade, every piece included, not these two players against each other.

Why this beats a calculator on this exact question

A calculator answers “is Brian Thomas for Jaylen Waddle fair” by subtracting one number from another, and it gives every manager in your league the same answer. That tells you nothing about whether the trade closes. What closes it is whether one side has to attach a piece, and which side that usually is. The 22 deals above are the record of what leagues actually agreed to when these two were on the table together.

How trade fairness actually works →

Full trade histories

Every Brian Thomas trade · Every Jaylen Waddle trade

Other matchups for these two

All players with real trade data →

Values from DynastyProcess and nflverse. Trades from public Sleeper leagues. When the data will not support a fair grade I leave it out and say so. Is this trade fair? · All players · Privacy · Terms