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Is Chris Godwin for Michael Thomas fair?

Chris Godwin and Michael Thomas have been on opposite sides of 23 real dynasty trades.

Not simulations and not a calculator lining up two numbers. Every one of them is a completed trade from a public Sleeper league, graded at the player values that were current on the day it happened.

Most of those were larger deals with other pieces attached. 1 of them were straight up: Chris Godwin for Michael Thomas, nothing else changing hands.

In 6 of these deals exactly one side had to attach something extra, split 3 to 3 between the Chris Godwin side and the Michael Thomas side. That is too close, and too small a sample, to call either player the more valuable.

23
Deals they were both in
1
Straight up, one for one
3 / 3
One side sweetened: Chris Godwin / Michael Thomas
Grade Chris Godwin for Michael Thomas now Scout your league

The deals themselves

DateMarginWent with Chris GodwinWent with Michael Thomas
2023-12-12+103%1 2nd, 1 later pick
2023-10-05+179%Quentin JohnstonHunter Henry
2023-05-29+3%Elijah Moore, Brian Robinson, Greg Dulcich, 2 1sts, 1 2ndChristian McCaffrey, Austin Ekeler
2023-03-22+104%Isiah PachecoMac Jones
2022-11-18+4%Allen Robinson, Dalton Schultz, Terry McLaurin, 1 1stMecole Hardman, Ja'Marr Chase, Brevin Jordan, 1 3rd
2022-09-24+104%1 later pick
2022-09-23+98%Laviska ShenaultMarquez Callaway, 1 3rd
2022-09-18+114%
2022-08-14-14%DeVonta SmithDavante Adams
2022-06-27+13%1 2nd1 1st

Read each row as: Chris Godwin, plus anything in the third column, was traded for Michael Thomas plus anything in the fourth. An em dash means that side sent nobody else. Margin is the value gap at that day’s prices from the side that received Chris Godwin; positive means that side came out ahead.

The whole-deal margin

Across all 23, the whole-deal value gap runs +2.8% from the side that received Chris Godwin - close to even. Read that as a measure of the entire trade, every piece included, not of these two players against each other.

Why this beats a calculator on this exact question

A calculator answers “is Chris Godwin for Michael Thomas fair” by subtracting one number from another, and it gives every manager in your league the same answer. That tells you nothing about whether the trade closes. What closes it is whether one side has to attach a piece, and which side that usually is. The 23 deals above are the record of what leagues actually agreed to when these two were on the table together.

How trade fairness actually works →

Full trade histories

Every Chris Godwin trade · Every Michael Thomas trade

Other matchups for these two

All players with real trade data →

Values from DynastyProcess and nflverse. Trades from public Sleeper leagues. When the data will not support a fair grade I leave it out and say so. Is this trade fair? · All players · Privacy · Terms