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Is Chris Olave for Josh Downs fair?

Chris Olave and Josh Downs have been on opposite sides of 25 real dynasty trades.

Not simulations and not a calculator lining up two numbers. Every one of them is a completed trade from a public Sleeper league, graded at the player values that were current on the day it happened.

Most of those were larger deals with other pieces attached. 1 of them were straight up: Chris Olave for Josh Downs, nothing else changing hands.

This is the part a calculator cannot tell you. In 4 of these deals exactly one side had to attach something extra, and 4 of those 4 times it was the Josh Downs side (0 the other way). The side that keeps having to add is the side holding the lesser asset, so the market has been treating Chris Olave as the more valuable of the two.

25
Deals they were both in
1
Straight up, one for one
0 / 4
One side sweetened: Chris Olave / Josh Downs

What they cost today

Everything above is priced on the day each deal happened, which is the only honest way to grade a completed trade. It is not what they cost now. Today Chris Olave prices at 6,247 and Josh Downs at 978, so the market currently rates Chris Olave about 6.4x the other. A pair can lean one way across its history and price the opposite way now; that gap is the whole reason to check the deal in front of you rather than the deal someone made in 2023.

Values as of 2026-09-04.

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The deals themselves

DateMarginWent with Chris OlaveWent with Josh Downs
2026-08-14+16%Jordan MasonTerry McLaurin, 1 1st, 1 3rd
2026-07-08+60%1 1st1 1st
2026-04-27+24%Chase Brown, 1 3rdMatthew Golden, Brock Purdy
2026-03-16-22%Tyler ShoughTreVeyon Henderson, 1 1st
2026-01-31+65%Will LevisKenneth Walker
2025-10-26-24%Kimani Vidal, Cade OttonKayshon Boutte, 1 1st
2025-10-11+4%D'Andre Swift1 1st
2025-10-01+22%Colston LovelandTyler Warren
2025-09-27+63%Cedric Tillman
2025-06-25+97%Keenan Allen, 1 2ndCam Skattebo, Elijah Moore

Read each row as: Chris Olave, plus anything in the third column, was traded for Josh Downs plus anything in the fourth. An em dash means that side sent nobody else. Margin is the value gap at that day’s prices from the side that received Chris Olave; positive means that side came out ahead.

The whole-deal margin

Across all 25, the whole-deal value gap runs +40.2% from the side that received Chris Olave, so the side ending up with Chris Olave has generally come out ahead on face value. That measures the entire trade, every piece included, not these two players against each other.

Why this beats a calculator on this exact question

A calculator answers “is Chris Olave for Josh Downs fair” by subtracting one number from another, and it gives every manager in your league the same answer. That tells you nothing about whether the trade closes. What closes it is whether one side has to attach a piece, and which side that usually is. The 25 deals above are the record of what leagues actually agreed to when these two were on the table together.

How trade fairness actually works →

Full trade histories

Every Chris Olave trade · Every Josh Downs trade

Other matchups for these two

All players with real trade data →

Values from DynastyProcess and nflverse. Trades from public Sleeper leagues. When the data will not support a fair grade I leave it out and say so. Is this trade fair? · All players · Research · Privacy · Terms