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Is Christian McCaffrey for Derrick Henry fair?

Christian McCaffrey and Derrick Henry have been on opposite sides of 25 real dynasty trades.

Not simulations and not a calculator lining up two numbers. Every one of them is a completed trade from a public Sleeper league, graded at the player values that were current on the day it happened.

None of them were a straight one-for-one. Every time these two crossed, something else was attached to close it.

This is the part a calculator cannot tell you. In 9 of these deals exactly one side had to attach something extra, and 6 of those 9 times it was the Derrick Henry side (3 the other way). The side that keeps having to add is the side holding the lesser asset, so the market has been treating Christian McCaffrey as the more valuable of the two.

25
Deals they were both in
0
Straight up, one for one
3 / 6
One side sweetened: Christian McCaffrey / Derrick Henry

What they cost today

Everything above is priced on the day each deal happened, which is the only honest way to grade a completed trade. It is not what they cost now. Today Christian McCaffrey prices at 4,381 and Derrick Henry at 1,621, so the market currently rates Christian McCaffrey about 2.7x the other. A pair can lean one way across its history and price the opposite way now; that gap is the whole reason to check the deal in front of you rather than the deal someone made in 2023.

Values as of 2026-07-24.

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The deals themselves

DateMarginWent with Christian McCaffreyWent with Derrick Henry
2026-02-15+19%Jerry Jeudy, Efton Chism, Rachaad White, 17 moreDevontez Walker, Davis Mills, Daniel Jones, 15 more, 1 1st
2025-11-18-43%Jared Goff, Dallas GoedertJonnu Smith, Lamar Jackson
2025-11-07-31%Travis Etienne, George Pickens, 2 2nds
2025-10-26-16%Keenan Allen, 1 2ndWan'Dale Robinson, 1 1st
2025-05-18+61%Chris Godwin, 1 3rd1 2nd, 1 3rd
2025-03-12-52%Jordan Mason, 1 2nd1 1st, 1 2nd
2025-01-14+68%Deebo Samuel, Jordan Mason, Sean Tucker, 1 later pick2 2nds, 1 3rd
2024-12-10+57%Brian Thomas, Jordan MasonDeAndre Hopkins, Davante Adams, Cooper Kupp
2024-12-10+40%Deshaun Watson, Jordan Mason
2024-11-28+62%1 3rd

Read each row as: Christian McCaffrey, plus anything in the third column, was traded for Derrick Henry plus anything in the fourth. An em dash means that side sent nobody else. Margin is the value gap at that day’s prices from the side that received Christian McCaffrey; positive means that side came out ahead.

The whole-deal margin

Across all 25, the whole-deal value gap runs +15.7% from the side that received Christian McCaffrey, so the side ending up with Christian McCaffrey has generally come out ahead on face value. That measures the entire trade, every piece included, not these two players against each other.

Why this beats a calculator on this exact question

A calculator answers “is Christian McCaffrey for Derrick Henry fair” by subtracting one number from another, and it gives every manager in your league the same answer. That tells you nothing about whether the trade closes. What closes it is whether one side has to attach a piece, and which side that usually is. The 25 deals above are the record of what leagues actually agreed to when these two were on the table together.

How trade fairness actually works →

Full trade histories

Every Christian McCaffrey trade · Every Derrick Henry trade

Other matchups for these two

All players with real trade data →

Values from DynastyProcess and nflverse. Trades from public Sleeper leagues. When the data will not support a fair grade I leave it out and say so. Is this trade fair? · All players · Privacy · Terms