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Is Christian Watson for David Montgomery fair?

Christian Watson and David Montgomery have been on opposite sides of 25 real dynasty trades.

Not simulations and not a calculator lining up two numbers. Every one of them is a completed trade from a public Sleeper league, graded at the player values that were current on the day it happened.

Most of those were larger deals with other pieces attached. 2 of them were straight up: Christian Watson for David Montgomery, nothing else changing hands.

This is the part a calculator cannot tell you. In 5 of these deals exactly one side had to attach something extra, and 5 of those 5 times it was the David Montgomery side (0 the other way). The side that keeps having to add is the side holding the lesser asset, so the market has been treating Christian Watson as the more valuable of the two.

25
Deals they were both in
2
Straight up, one for one
0 / 5
One side sweetened: Christian Watson / David Montgomery

What they cost today

Everything above is priced on the day each deal happened, which is the only honest way to grade a completed trade. It is not what they cost now. Today Christian Watson prices at 2,036 and David Montgomery at 1,085, so the market currently rates Christian Watson about 1.9x the other. A pair can lean one way across its history and price the opposite way now; that gap is the whole reason to check the deal in front of you rather than the deal someone made in 2023.

Values as of 2026-07-24.

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The deals themselves

DateMarginWent with Christian WatsonWent with David Montgomery
2026-07-19+68%1 later pick
2026-06-12+64%Rome OdunzeJalen McMillan, Sam Darnold
2026-05-24+76%
2026-04-14+8%1 3rd
2025-09-17-32%Kaleb Johnson, Christian Kirk, 1 1stA.J. Brown
2024-11-05+40%Jordan Mason, 1 1stCooper Kupp, 1 3rd
2024-10-03-65%Tyler Allgeier, 1 2nd, 1 3rdDiontae Johnson
2024-06-07-38%Jared GoffDerek Carr, Jaylen Waddle
2024-04-29-62%
2024-02-09-8%Dorian Thompson-Robinson, Terry McLaurin, Javonte Williams, 2 1stsKeenan Allen, Austin Ekeler, Jakobi Meyers, 1 more, 1 3rd

Read each row as: Christian Watson, plus anything in the third column, was traded for David Montgomery plus anything in the fourth. An em dash means that side sent nobody else. Margin is the value gap at that day’s prices from the side that received Christian Watson; positive means that side came out ahead.

The whole-deal margin

Across all 25, the whole-deal value gap runs +9.1% from the side that received Christian Watson, so the side ending up with Christian Watson has generally come out ahead on face value. That measures the entire trade, every piece included, not these two players against each other.

Why this beats a calculator on this exact question

A calculator answers “is Christian Watson for David Montgomery fair” by subtracting one number from another, and it gives every manager in your league the same answer. That tells you nothing about whether the trade closes. What closes it is whether one side has to attach a piece, and which side that usually is. The 25 deals above are the record of what leagues actually agreed to when these two were on the table together.

How trade fairness actually works →

Full trade histories

Every Christian Watson trade · Every David Montgomery trade

Other matchups for these two

All players with real trade data →

Values from DynastyProcess and nflverse. Trades from public Sleeper leagues. When the data will not support a fair grade I leave it out and say so. Is this trade fair? · All players · Privacy · Terms