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Is Darren Waller for George Kittle fair?

Darren Waller and George Kittle have been on opposite sides of 29 real dynasty trades.

Not simulations and not a calculator lining up two numbers. Every one of them is a completed trade from a public Sleeper league, graded at the player values that were current on the day it happened.

None of them were a straight one-for-one. Every time these two crossed, something else was attached to close it.

This is the part a calculator cannot tell you. In 6 of these deals exactly one side had to attach something extra, and 4 of those 6 times it was the Darren Waller side (2 the other way). The side that keeps having to add is the side holding the lesser asset, so the market has been treating George Kittle as the more valuable of the two.

29
Deals they were both in
0
Straight up, one for one
4 / 2
One side sweetened: Darren Waller / George Kittle

What they cost today

Everything above is priced on the day each deal happened, which is the only honest way to grade a completed trade. It is not what they cost now. Today Darren Waller prices at 6 and George Kittle at 901, so the market currently rates George Kittle about 150.2x the other. A pair can lean one way across its history and price the opposite way now; that gap is the whole reason to check the deal in front of you rather than the deal someone made in 2023.

Values as of 2026-07-24.

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The deals themselves

DateMarginWent with Darren WallerWent with George Kittle
2025-09-03-27%Tony Pollard, Tua Tagovailoa, 1 1st, 1 2ndJ.J. McCarthy, Davante Adams
2023-12-04+26%Tank DellDavid Montgomery
2023-11-03+46%Christian WatsonJonathan Mingo
2023-10-08+16%DaQuan Jones, Isaiah Simmons, Gabe Davis, 1 1st, 2 2ndsMike Evans, Jimmie Ward, Arik Armstead
2023-08-31-9%Aaron JonesRomeo Doubs
2023-08-24-79%Baker Mayfield, Kyle Trask, 1 3rdTyler Scott, 1 2nd
2023-03-30-32%Jamaal Williams, Josh Allen, Allen Lazard, 1 3rdTerry McLaurin, Tua Tagovailoa, Jaylen Waddle
2022-12-02-40%Josh Jacobs, Trey McBride, Kyren Williams, 1 moreTyreek Hill
2022-12-02-8%Jerry Jeudy, Calvin AustinRaheem Mostert
2022-09-29-10%Cam AkersJosh Jacobs

Read each row as: Darren Waller, plus anything in the third column, was traded for George Kittle plus anything in the fourth. An em dash means that side sent nobody else. Margin is the value gap at that day’s prices from the side that received Darren Waller; positive means that side came out ahead.

The whole-deal margin

Across all 29, the whole-deal value gap runs -17.8% from the side that received Darren Waller, so the side ending up with George Kittle has generally come out ahead on face value. That measures the entire trade, every piece included, not these two players against each other.

Why this beats a calculator on this exact question

A calculator answers “is Darren Waller for George Kittle fair” by subtracting one number from another, and it gives every manager in your league the same answer. That tells you nothing about whether the trade closes. What closes it is whether one side has to attach a piece, and which side that usually is. The 29 deals above are the record of what leagues actually agreed to when these two were on the table together.

How trade fairness actually works →

Full trade histories

Every Darren Waller trade · Every George Kittle trade

Other matchups for these two

All players with real trade data →

Values from DynastyProcess and nflverse. Trades from public Sleeper leagues. When the data will not support a fair grade I leave it out and say so. Is this trade fair? · All players · Privacy · Terms