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Is Derrick Henry for Tony Pollard fair?

Derrick Henry and Tony Pollard have been on opposite sides of 23 real dynasty trades.

Not simulations and not a calculator lining up two numbers. Every one of them is a completed trade from a public Sleeper league, graded at the player values that were current on the day it happened.

None of them were a straight one-for-one. Every time these two crossed, something else was attached to close it.

This is the part a calculator cannot tell you. In 7 of these deals exactly one side had to attach something extra, and 6 of those 7 times it was the Tony Pollard side (1 the other way). The side that keeps having to add is the side holding the lesser asset, so the market has been treating Derrick Henry as the more valuable of the two.

23
Deals they were both in
0
Straight up, one for one
1 / 6
One side sweetened: Derrick Henry / Tony Pollard

What they cost today

Everything above is priced on the day each deal happened, which is the only honest way to grade a completed trade. It is not what they cost now. Today Derrick Henry prices at 1,621 and Tony Pollard at 371, so the market currently rates Derrick Henry about 4.4x the other. A pair can lean one way across its history and price the opposite way now; that gap is the whole reason to check the deal in front of you rather than the deal someone made in 2023.

Values as of 2026-07-24.

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The deals themselves

DateMarginWent with Derrick HenryWent with Tony Pollard
2026-03-11+114%Mark Andrews, 1 3rdChig Okonkwo, Tyjae Spears
2025-08-20-92%1 2ndXavier Worthy, 1 1st
2024-12-25-2%Davante AdamsIsaac Guerendo, Jerry Jeudy, Najee Harris
2024-12-01-27%Brian Robinson
2024-10-18+33%1 3rd1 2nd, 1 later pick
2024-10-18-64%1 1st, 1 2nd
2024-07-05-11%1 2nd
2024-06-04-8%Christian Kirk, Courtland SuttonChris Godwin, Zamir White
2024-03-20-80%Derek Carr
2024-01-14-70%Brandin CooksJerry Jeudy, 1 3rd

Read each row as: Derrick Henry, plus anything in the third column, was traded for Tony Pollard plus anything in the fourth. An em dash means that side sent nobody else. Margin is the value gap at that day’s prices from the side that received Derrick Henry; positive means that side came out ahead.

The whole-deal margin

Across all 23, the whole-deal value gap runs -11.4% from the side that received Derrick Henry, so the side ending up with Tony Pollard has generally come out ahead on face value. That measures the entire trade, every piece included, not these two players against each other.

Why this beats a calculator on this exact question

A calculator answers “is Derrick Henry for Tony Pollard fair” by subtracting one number from another, and it gives every manager in your league the same answer. That tells you nothing about whether the trade closes. What closes it is whether one side has to attach a piece, and which side that usually is. The 23 deals above are the record of what leagues actually agreed to when these two were on the table together.

How trade fairness actually works →

Full trade histories

Every Derrick Henry trade · Every Tony Pollard trade

Other matchups for these two

All players with real trade data →

Values from DynastyProcess and nflverse. Trades from public Sleeper leagues. When the data will not support a fair grade I leave it out and say so. Is this trade fair? · All players · Privacy · Terms