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Is Ezekiel Elliott for Josh Jacobs fair?

Ezekiel Elliott and Josh Jacobs have been on opposite sides of 21 real dynasty trades.

Not simulations and not a calculator lining up two numbers. Every one of them is a completed trade from a public Sleeper league, graded at the player values that were current on the day it happened.

None of them were a straight one-for-one. Every time these two crossed, something else was attached to close it.

In 6 of these deals exactly one side had to attach something extra, split 3 to 3 between the Ezekiel Elliott side and the Josh Jacobs side. That is too close, and too small a sample, to call either player the more valuable.

21
Deals they were both in
0
Straight up, one for one
3 / 3
One side sweetened: Ezekiel Elliott / Josh Jacobs
Grade Ezekiel Elliott for Josh Jacobs now Scout your league

The deals themselves

DateMarginWent with Ezekiel ElliottWent with Josh Jacobs
2024-08-14+37%Jermaine Johnson, 2 1sts, 1 2nd, 1 3rdDenzel Ward, 3 later picks
2024-06-21-145%1 2nd
2023-10-13-48%Marte Mapu, Kayshon Boutte, Trey Flowers, 63 moreNate Hobbs, Ameer Abdullah, Jimmy Garoppolo, 19 more
2023-04-08-6%1 1st
2022-09-16+36%A.J. Brown, George PickensCurtis Samuel, Michael Gallup, Michael Pittman
2022-09-06-20%Rashard Higgins, Xavier Woods, Hayden Hurst, 2 more, 1 1st, 1 2ndDavante Adams, Darren Waller
2022-09-02+16%Marcus Mariota, Darren Waller, Kyler Murray, 2 moreRobert Tonyan, Justin Herbert, Jordyn Brooks, 1 more
2022-08-07+42%Tyreek Hill, Tua TagovailoaDak Prescott
2022-03-23-20%Sam Darnold
2022-03-09+25%Matthew Stafford, 1 2ndTua Tagovailoa

Read each row as: Ezekiel Elliott, plus anything in the third column, was traded for Josh Jacobs plus anything in the fourth. An em dash means that side sent nobody else. Margin is the value gap at that day’s prices from the side that received Ezekiel Elliott; positive means that side came out ahead.

The whole-deal margin

Across all 21, the whole-deal value gap runs +18.7% from the side that received Ezekiel Elliott, so the side ending up with Ezekiel Elliott has generally come out ahead on face value. That measures the entire trade, every piece included, not these two players against each other.

Why this beats a calculator on this exact question

A calculator answers “is Ezekiel Elliott for Josh Jacobs fair” by subtracting one number from another, and it gives every manager in your league the same answer. That tells you nothing about whether the trade closes. What closes it is whether one side has to attach a piece, and which side that usually is. The 21 deals above are the record of what leagues actually agreed to when these two were on the table together.

How trade fairness actually works →

Full trade histories

Every Ezekiel Elliott trade · Every Josh Jacobs trade

Other matchups for these two

All players with real trade data →

Values from DynastyProcess and nflverse. Trades from public Sleeper leagues. When the data will not support a fair grade I leave it out and say so. Is this trade fair? · All players · Privacy · Terms