Ezekiel Elliott and Nick Chubb have been on opposite sides of 23 real dynasty trades.
Not simulations and not a calculator lining up two numbers. Every one of them is a completed trade from a public Sleeper league, graded at the player values that were current on the day it happened.
Most of those were larger deals with other pieces attached. 1 of them were straight up: Ezekiel Elliott for Nick Chubb, nothing else changing hands.
This is the part a calculator cannot tell you. In 6 of these deals exactly one side had to attach something extra, and 4 of those 6 times it was the Nick Chubb side (2 the other way). The side that keeps having to add is the side holding the lesser asset, so the market has been treating Ezekiel Elliott as the more valuable of the two.
| Date | Margin | Went with Ezekiel Elliott | Went with Nick Chubb |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-08-24 | -157% | — | — |
| 2023-10-23 | -98% | Derrick Henry | Joe Mixon, Chris Godwin |
| 2023-10-04 | +84% | Russell Wilson, DeAndre Hopkins, Travis Kelce, 9 more | Aidan O'Connell, Jimmy Garoppolo, Tyler Higbee, 12 more, 1 3rd, 2 later picks |
| 2023-10-04 | +84% | Russell Wilson, DeAndre Hopkins, Travis Kelce, 9 more | Aidan O'Connell, Jimmy Garoppolo, Tyler Higbee, 12 more, 1 3rd, 2 later picks |
| 2023-09-19 | -185% | Chuba Hubbard | — |
| 2023-05-02 | -4% | 2 1sts | — |
| 2022-10-20 | -85% | James Conner, Allen Lazard, 1 1st, 1 2nd, 1 3rd | Saquon Barkley |
| 2022-09-13 | -10% | Justin Fields | Kirk Cousins |
| 2022-06-14 | -51% | Tony Pollard, Myles Gaskin, 1 2nd, 1 3rd | Khalil Herbert, Wan'Dale Robinson |
| 2022-05-29 | -11% | Dalton Schultz, CeeDee Lamb, 1 2nd, 1 3rd | Diontae Johnson, Leo Chenal, 1 1st |
Read each row as: Ezekiel Elliott, plus anything in the third column, was traded for Nick Chubb plus anything in the fourth. An em dash means that side sent nobody else. Margin is the value gap at that day’s prices from the side that received Ezekiel Elliott; positive means that side came out ahead.
Across all 23, the whole-deal value gap runs -6.9% from the side that received Ezekiel Elliott, so the side ending up with Nick Chubb has generally come out ahead on face value. That measures the entire trade, every piece included, not these two players against each other.
A calculator answers “is Ezekiel Elliott for Nick Chubb fair” by subtracting one number from another, and it gives every manager in your league the same answer. That tells you nothing about whether the trade closes. What closes it is whether one side has to attach a piece, and which side that usually is. The 23 deals above are the record of what leagues actually agreed to when these two were on the table together.
How trade fairness actually works →
Every Ezekiel Elliott trade · Every Nick Chubb trade
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