Read Option

Is Ezekiel Elliott for Saquon Barkley fair?

Ezekiel Elliott and Saquon Barkley have been on opposite sides of 21 real dynasty trades.

Not simulations and not a calculator lining up two numbers. Every one of them is a completed trade from a public Sleeper league, graded at the player values that were current on the day it happened.

Most of those were larger deals with other pieces attached. 2 of them were straight up: Ezekiel Elliott for Saquon Barkley, nothing else changing hands.

This is the part a calculator cannot tell you. In 6 of these deals exactly one side had to attach something extra, and 5 of those 6 times it was the Ezekiel Elliott side (1 the other way). The side that keeps having to add is the side holding the lesser asset, so the market has been treating Saquon Barkley as the more valuable of the two.

21
Deals they were both in
2
Straight up, one for one
5 / 1
One side sweetened: Ezekiel Elliott / Saquon Barkley
Grade Ezekiel Elliott for Saquon Barkley now Scout your league

The deals themselves

DateMarginWent with Ezekiel ElliottWent with Saquon Barkley
2024-09-20+14%Tyjae Spears, 1 1st
2024-05-07-28%Mike Evans, Stefon Diggs, Kyler Murray, 2 3rdsDK Metcalf, Brock Purdy, 1 later pick
2023-01-07-26%Jimmy Garoppolo, Evan Engram, Ja'Marr Chase, 1 moreDarren Waller, Dak Prescott, Michael Pittman
2022-10-20-85%James Conner, Allen Lazard, 1 1st, 1 2nd, 1 3rdNick Chubb
2022-10-13-12%Kyler MurrayMatthew Stafford
2022-10-01-46%1 1st
2022-09-14-112%Jimmy Garoppolo, Allen Robinson, Tyler Lockett, 5 moreDak Prescott, Cooper Kupp, Nyheim Miller-Hines
2022-09-09-40%1 1st, 1 3rd, 1 later pick
2022-05-20-0%Tim Patrick, 1 1st, 1 3rdJamison Crowder, David Njoku, 1 2nd
2022-05-18-67%

Read each row as: Ezekiel Elliott, plus anything in the third column, was traded for Saquon Barkley plus anything in the fourth. An em dash means that side sent nobody else. Margin is the value gap at that day’s prices from the side that received Ezekiel Elliott; positive means that side came out ahead.

The whole-deal margin

Across all 21, the whole-deal value gap runs -25.9% from the side that received Ezekiel Elliott, so the side ending up with Saquon Barkley has generally come out ahead on face value. That measures the entire trade, every piece included, not these two players against each other.

Why this beats a calculator on this exact question

A calculator answers “is Ezekiel Elliott for Saquon Barkley fair” by subtracting one number from another, and it gives every manager in your league the same answer. That tells you nothing about whether the trade closes. What closes it is whether one side has to attach a piece, and which side that usually is. The 21 deals above are the record of what leagues actually agreed to when these two were on the table together.

How trade fairness actually works →

Full trade histories

Every Ezekiel Elliott trade · Every Saquon Barkley trade

Other matchups for these two

All players with real trade data →

Values from DynastyProcess and nflverse. Trades from public Sleeper leagues. When the data will not support a fair grade I leave it out and say so. Is this trade fair? · All players · Privacy · Terms