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Is Geno Smith for Kirk Cousins fair?

Geno Smith and Kirk Cousins have been on opposite sides of 22 real dynasty trades.

Not simulations and not a calculator lining up two numbers. Every one of them is a completed trade from a public Sleeper league, graded at the player values that were current on the day it happened.

Most of those were larger deals with other pieces attached. 2 of them were straight up: Geno Smith for Kirk Cousins, nothing else changing hands.

This is the part a calculator cannot tell you. In 8 of these deals exactly one side had to attach something extra, and 5 of those 8 times it was the Kirk Cousins side (3 the other way). The side that keeps having to add is the side holding the lesser asset, so the market has been treating Geno Smith as the more valuable of the two.

22
Deals they were both in
2
Straight up, one for one
3 / 5
One side sweetened: Geno Smith / Kirk Cousins

What they cost today

Everything above is priced on the day each deal happened, which is the only honest way to grade a completed trade. It is not what they cost now. Today Geno Smith prices at 59 and Kirk Cousins at 25, so the market currently rates Geno Smith about 2.4x the other. A pair can lean one way across its history and price the opposite way now; that gap is the whole reason to check the deal in front of you rather than the deal someone made in 2023.

Values as of 2026-07-24.

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The deals themselves

DateMarginWent with Geno SmithWent with Kirk Cousins
2026-05-19+150%Jaydon Blue, Daniel JonesMarShawn Lloyd, Dylan Sampson, Dontayvion Wicks
2026-04-02+45%
2025-08-07+88%Devin CulpDyami Brown, 1 2nd, 1 later pick
2024-04-04-8%Bo Nix, Gabe Davis
2024-03-31-18%1 2nd
2023-11-26+25%Stefon Diggs, Alvin KamaraCurtis Samuel, Brandon Aiyuk, J.K. Dobbins, 1 more, 1 3rd, 1 later pick
2023-11-17+36%1 3rd
2023-11-17+35%P.J. Walker, 1 3rd
2023-11-15-7%1 2nd, 1 later pick
2023-11-05-23%Mike Evans, Aaron Jones, Lamar JacksonJustin Jefferson, De'Von Achane, 2 2nds

Read each row as: Geno Smith, plus anything in the third column, was traded for Kirk Cousins plus anything in the fourth. An em dash means that side sent nobody else. Margin is the value gap at that day’s prices from the side that received Geno Smith; positive means that side came out ahead.

The whole-deal margin

Across all 22, the whole-deal value gap runs +4.8% from the side that received Geno Smith, so the side ending up with Geno Smith has generally come out ahead on face value. That measures the entire trade, every piece included, not these two players against each other.

Why this beats a calculator on this exact question

A calculator answers “is Geno Smith for Kirk Cousins fair” by subtracting one number from another, and it gives every manager in your league the same answer. That tells you nothing about whether the trade closes. What closes it is whether one side has to attach a piece, and which side that usually is. The 22 deals above are the record of what leagues actually agreed to when these two were on the table together.

How trade fairness actually works →

Full trade histories

Every Geno Smith trade · Every Kirk Cousins trade

Other matchups for these two

All players with real trade data →

Values from DynastyProcess and nflverse. Trades from public Sleeper leagues. When the data will not support a fair grade I leave it out and say so. Is this trade fair? · All players · Privacy · Terms