Read Option

Is George Pickens for Tyreek Hill fair?

George Pickens and Tyreek Hill have been on opposite sides of 39 real dynasty trades.

Not simulations and not a calculator lining up two numbers. Every one of them is a completed trade from a public Sleeper league, graded at the player values that were current on the day it happened.

None of them were a straight one-for-one. Every time these two crossed, something else was attached to close it.

This is the part a calculator cannot tell you. In 9 of these deals exactly one side had to attach something extra, and 8 of those 9 times it was the George Pickens side (1 the other way). The side that keeps having to add is the side holding the lesser asset, so the market has been treating Tyreek Hill as the more valuable of the two.

39
Deals they were both in
0
Straight up, one for one
8 / 1
One side sweetened: George Pickens / Tyreek Hill

What they cost today

Everything above is priced on the day each deal happened, which is the only honest way to grade a completed trade. It is not what they cost now. Today George Pickens prices at 4,858 and Tyreek Hill at 453, so the market currently rates George Pickens about 10.7x the other. A pair can lean one way across its history and price the opposite way now; that gap is the whole reason to check the deal in front of you rather than the deal someone made in 2023.

Values as of 2026-07-24.

Grade George Pickens for Tyreek Hill now Scout your league

The deals themselves

DateMarginWent with George PickensWent with Tyreek Hill
2026-05-17-19%Isiah Pacheco, Sam LaPorta, Lamar Jackson, 15 more, 2 2nds, 2 3rds, 2 later picksCooper Rush, Ja'Marr Chase, Jalen Tolbert, 19 more, 1 2nd, 2 3rds, 1 later pick
2025-06-19-52%Keon Coleman, Christian McCaffreyDavante Adams, Breece Hall
2025-05-28-54%Justice Hill
2025-05-20-20%Derrick HenryTyrone Tracy, Michael Pittman
2025-05-19-39%Jameson Williams, Kenneth Walker, 1 3rdMichael Wilson, Saquon Barkley
2025-05-10-60%1 3rdRachaad White
2025-05-09-6%1 1stChristian McCaffrey, 1 3rd
2025-02-13+15%DeVonta SmithDK Metcalf
2024-06-10-32%J.J. McCarthy, 1 1st, 2 2nds, 1 later pickChristian Kirk, 2 1sts, 1 3rd
2024-05-10-20%Justin Herbert, Jahan Dotson, 1 1stDerek Carr, Christian McCaffrey, David Montgomery, 1 more

Read each row as: George Pickens, plus anything in the third column, was traded for Tyreek Hill plus anything in the fourth. An em dash means that side sent nobody else. Margin is the value gap at that day’s prices from the side that received George Pickens; positive means that side came out ahead.

The whole-deal margin

Across all 39, the whole-deal value gap runs -29.9% from the side that received George Pickens, so the side ending up with Tyreek Hill has generally come out ahead on face value. That measures the entire trade, every piece included, not these two players against each other.

Why this beats a calculator on this exact question

A calculator answers “is George Pickens for Tyreek Hill fair” by subtracting one number from another, and it gives every manager in your league the same answer. That tells you nothing about whether the trade closes. What closes it is whether one side has to attach a piece, and which side that usually is. The 39 deals above are the record of what leagues actually agreed to when these two were on the table together.

How trade fairness actually works →

Full trade histories

Every George Pickens trade · Every Tyreek Hill trade

Other matchups for these two

All players with real trade data →

Values from DynastyProcess and nflverse. Trades from public Sleeper leagues. When the data will not support a fair grade I leave it out and say so. Is this trade fair? · All players · Privacy · Terms