Jake Ferguson and Trey McBride have been on opposite sides of 24 real dynasty trades.
Not simulations and not a calculator lining up two numbers. Every one of them is a completed trade from a public Sleeper league, graded at the player values that were current on the day it happened.
None of them were a straight one-for-one. Every time these two crossed, something else was attached to close it.
This is the part a calculator cannot tell you. In 12 of these deals exactly one side had to attach something extra, and 11 of those 12 times it was the Jake Ferguson side (1 the other way). The side that keeps having to add is the side holding the lesser asset, so the market has been treating Trey McBride as the more valuable of the two.
Everything above is priced on the day each deal happened, which is the only honest way to grade a completed trade. It is not what they cost now. Today Jake Ferguson prices at 641 and Trey McBride at 5,237, so the market currently rates Trey McBride about 8.2x the other. A pair can lean one way across its history and price the opposite way now; that gap is the whole reason to check the deal in front of you rather than the deal someone made in 2023.
Values as of 2026-09-04.
| Date | Margin | Went with Jake Ferguson | Went with Trey McBride |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | +24% | Kimani Vidal, Emeka Egbuka, Jeff Caldwell, 2 more, 2 1sts | Christian McCaffrey, Matthew Stafford, DeVonta Smith, 1 1st, 1 3rd |
| 2026-08-22 | +58% | Emeka Egbuka, Emmett Johnson, Kenneth Walker | Ray Davis, Drew Allar, D'Andre Swift |
| 2026-06-19 | -30% | 1 1st, 1 2nd, 1 3rd, 1 later pick | 1 3rd |
| 2025-12-12 | +11% | Bucky Irving, 1 2nd | — |
| 2025-11-27 | -160% | 1 1st | — |
| 2025-11-05 | -80% | 1 later pick | 1 1st |
| 2025-10-04 | -74% | Omarion Hampton | CeeDee Lamb |
| 2025-05-22 | -143% | Cade Otton, 2 3rds | — |
| 2024-11-28 | +29% | Rome Odunze, 1 1st | Cade Otton, 1 2nd |
| 2024-11-19 | -17% | Tua Tagovailoa, 1 3rd | — |
Read each row as: Jake Ferguson, plus anything in the third column, was traded for Trey McBride plus anything in the fourth. An em dash means that side sent nobody else. Margin is the value gap at that day’s prices from the side that received Jake Ferguson; positive means that side came out ahead.
Across all 24, the whole-deal value gap runs -25.1% from the side that received Jake Ferguson, so the side ending up with Trey McBride has generally come out ahead on face value. That measures the entire trade, every piece included, not these two players against each other.
A calculator answers “is Jake Ferguson for Trey McBride fair” by subtracting one number from another, and it gives every manager in your league the same answer. That tells you nothing about whether the trade closes. What closes it is whether one side has to attach a piece, and which side that usually is. The 24 deals above are the record of what leagues actually agreed to when these two were on the table together.
How trade fairness actually works →
Every Jake Ferguson trade · Every Trey McBride trade
All players with real trade data →