Jayden Reed and Josh Downs have been on opposite sides of 25 real dynasty trades.
Not simulations and not a calculator lining up two numbers. Every one of them is a completed trade from a public Sleeper league, graded at the player values that were current on the day it happened.
Most of those were larger deals with other pieces attached. 3 of them were straight up: Jayden Reed for Josh Downs, nothing else changing hands.
In 1 of these deals exactly one side had to attach something extra, split 1 to 0 between the Jayden Reed side and the Josh Downs side. That is too close, and too small a sample, to call either player the more valuable.
Everything above is priced on the day each deal happened, which is the only honest way to grade a completed trade. It is not what they cost now. Today Jayden Reed prices at 757 and Josh Downs at 978, so the market currently rates Josh Downs about 1.3x the other. A pair can lean one way across its history and price the opposite way now; that gap is the whole reason to check the deal in front of you rather than the deal someone made in 2023.
Values as of 2026-09-04.
| Date | Margin | Went with Jayden Reed | Went with Josh Downs |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-21 | +8% | Jonathon Brooks, 1 later pick | Gunnar Helm, 1 3rd |
| 2026-08-15 | +31% | Rome Odunze, 1 2nd | 1 1st, 1 3rd |
| 2026-03-14 | +9% | Jerome Ford | Kimani Vidal |
| 2025-10-25 | -52% | — | — |
| 2025-10-02 | -28% | Marvin Mims, 2 2nds | Tre Tucker, Jakobi Meyers, Javonte Williams |
| 2025-09-04 | +24% | Dont'e Thornton, 1 2nd | — |
| 2025-08-16 | -8% | 1 3rd | Isaiah Bond |
| 2025-06-16 | +18% | — | — |
| 2025-05-29 | +10% | Trevor Lawrence, Amon-Ra St. Brown | Caleb Williams, DeVonta Smith, 1 2nd |
| 2025-05-20 | +60% | Jordan Love, 2 later picks | Chase Brown, Tank Dell |
Read each row as: Jayden Reed, plus anything in the third column, was traded for Josh Downs plus anything in the fourth. An em dash means that side sent nobody else. Margin is the value gap at that day’s prices from the side that received Jayden Reed; positive means that side came out ahead.
Across all 25, the whole-deal value gap runs +8.7% from the side that received Jayden Reed, so the side ending up with Jayden Reed has generally come out ahead on face value. That measures the entire trade, every piece included, not these two players against each other.
A calculator answers “is Jayden Reed for Josh Downs fair” by subtracting one number from another, and it gives every manager in your league the same answer. That tells you nothing about whether the trade closes. What closes it is whether one side has to attach a piece, and which side that usually is. The 25 deals above are the record of what leagues actually agreed to when these two were on the table together.
How trade fairness actually works →
Every Jayden Reed trade · Every Josh Downs trade
All players with real trade data →