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Is Josh Allen for Kyle Pitts fair?

Josh Allen and Kyle Pitts have been on opposite sides of 22 real dynasty trades.

Not simulations and not a calculator lining up two numbers. Every one of them is a completed trade from a public Sleeper league, graded at the player values that were current on the day it happened.

None of them were a straight one-for-one. Every time these two crossed, something else was attached to close it.

This is the part a calculator cannot tell you. In 4 of these deals exactly one side had to attach something extra, and 4 of those 4 times it was the Kyle Pitts side (0 the other way). The side that keeps having to add is the side holding the lesser asset, so the market has been treating Josh Allen as the more valuable of the two.

22
Deals they were both in
0
Straight up, one for one
0 / 4
One side sweetened: Josh Allen / Kyle Pitts

What they cost today

Everything above is priced on the day each deal happened, which is the only honest way to grade a completed trade. It is not what they cost now. Today Josh Allen prices at 6,878 and Kyle Pitts at 2,700, so the market currently rates Josh Allen about 2.5x the other. A pair can lean one way across its history and price the opposite way now; that gap is the whole reason to check the deal in front of you rather than the deal someone made in 2023.

Values as of 2026-07-24.

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The deals themselves

DateMarginWent with Josh AllenWent with Kyle Pitts
2026-02-28-24%T.J. Hockenson, David Montgomery, 1 3rd3 1sts, 2 2nds
2024-11-25+73%Ladd McConkey, 1 1st, 1 2nd
2024-10-09+41%Garrett Wilson, De'Von AchaneJayden Reed, Justin Herbert, Tyjae Spears, 1 1st
2024-06-23+20%Joe Mixon, Evan EngramJared Goff, Kenneth Walker, Zach Charbonnet
2024-04-10+2%Justin Herbert
2024-01-12+63%Brian Robinson, 1 3rd1 1st, 1 2nd, 1 3rd, 3 later picks
2024-01-10+75%George KittleTrevor Lawrence
2023-11-29-6%Tanner HudsonTony Pollard, Justin Fields, 1 2nd
2023-11-28+66%Dalton Kincaid, Saquon BarkleyNajee Harris, Jerome Ford, 1 1st, 2 2nds
2023-09-27-3%1 later pickDJ Moore, Andy Dalton, De'Von Achane, 2 more, 2 3rds

Read each row as: Josh Allen, plus anything in the third column, was traded for Kyle Pitts plus anything in the fourth. An em dash means that side sent nobody else. Margin is the value gap at that day’s prices from the side that received Josh Allen; positive means that side came out ahead.

The whole-deal margin

Across all 22, the whole-deal value gap runs -4.4% from the side that received Josh Allen, so the side ending up with Kyle Pitts has generally come out ahead on face value. That measures the entire trade, every piece included, not these two players against each other.

Why this beats a calculator on this exact question

A calculator answers “is Josh Allen for Kyle Pitts fair” by subtracting one number from another, and it gives every manager in your league the same answer. That tells you nothing about whether the trade closes. What closes it is whether one side has to attach a piece, and which side that usually is. The 22 deals above are the record of what leagues actually agreed to when these two were on the table together.

How trade fairness actually works →

Full trade histories

Every Josh Allen trade · Every Kyle Pitts trade

Other matchups for these two

All players with real trade data →

Values from DynastyProcess and nflverse. Trades from public Sleeper leagues. When the data will not support a fair grade I leave it out and say so. Is this trade fair? · All players · Privacy · Terms