Read Option

Is Joe Burrow for Josh Allen fair?

Joe Burrow and Josh Allen have been on opposite sides of 56 real dynasty trades.

Not simulations and not a calculator lining up two numbers. Every one of them is a completed trade from a public Sleeper league, graded at the player values that were current on the day it happened.

Most of those were larger deals with other pieces attached. 1 of them were straight up: Joe Burrow for Josh Allen, nothing else changing hands.

This is the part a calculator cannot tell you. In 8 of these deals exactly one side had to attach something extra, and 8 of those 8 times it was the Joe Burrow side (0 the other way). The side that keeps having to add is the side holding the lesser asset, so the market has been treating Josh Allen as the more valuable of the two.

56
Deals they were both in
1
Straight up, one for one
8 / 0
One side sweetened: Joe Burrow / Josh Allen

What they cost today

Everything above is priced on the day each deal happened, which is the only honest way to grade a completed trade. It is not what they cost now. Today Joe Burrow prices at 3,751 and Josh Allen at 6,878, so the market currently rates Josh Allen about 1.8x the other. A pair can lean one way across its history and price the opposite way now; that gap is the whole reason to check the deal in front of you rather than the deal someone made in 2023.

Values as of 2026-07-24.

Grade Joe Burrow for Josh Allen now Scout your league

The deals themselves

DateMarginWent with Joe BurrowWent with Josh Allen
2026-04-28+10%Terrance Ferguson, Kenneth Walker
2026-03-01+4%Travis Hunter, 1 3rdTre' Harris
2025-10-16-2%Elic Ayomanor, 1 1st, 1 2ndD'Andre Swift
2025-10-10+22%Cam Skattebo, Garrett WilsonD'Andre Swift, Michael Pittman
2025-09-20-11%Jayden Daniels, Mason Taylor, 1 2ndPatrick Mahomes
2025-09-16+12%1 1st, 1 3rd
2025-09-16+24%Tetairoa McMillan, 1 2nd1 3rd
2025-07-28+26%Drake London, 1 3rdKeon Coleman, 1 2nd, 1 later pick
2025-04-09-16%Zach Ertz, Jahmyr Gibbs, 1 2ndMitchell Trubisky, CeeDee Lamb, 1 2nd
2025-03-13-14%Chuba Hubbard, 1 2ndCooper Kupp, Noah Fant

Read each row as: Joe Burrow, plus anything in the third column, was traded for Josh Allen plus anything in the fourth. An em dash means that side sent nobody else. Margin is the value gap at that day’s prices from the side that received Joe Burrow; positive means that side came out ahead.

The whole-deal margin

Across all 56, the whole-deal value gap runs +4.5% from the side that received Joe Burrow, so the side ending up with Joe Burrow has generally come out ahead on face value. That measures the entire trade, every piece included, not these two players against each other.

Why this beats a calculator on this exact question

A calculator answers “is Joe Burrow for Josh Allen fair” by subtracting one number from another, and it gives every manager in your league the same answer. That tells you nothing about whether the trade closes. What closes it is whether one side has to attach a piece, and which side that usually is. The 56 deals above are the record of what leagues actually agreed to when these two were on the table together.

How trade fairness actually works →

Full trade histories

Every Joe Burrow trade · Every Josh Allen trade

Other matchups for these two

All players with real trade data →

Values from DynastyProcess and nflverse. Trades from public Sleeper leagues. When the data will not support a fair grade I leave it out and say so. Is this trade fair? · All players · Privacy · Terms