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Is Josh Downs for Kenneth Walker fair?

Josh Downs and Kenneth Walker have been on opposite sides of 24 real dynasty trades.

Not simulations and not a calculator lining up two numbers. Every one of them is a completed trade from a public Sleeper league, graded at the player values that were current on the day it happened.

None of them were a straight one-for-one. Every time these two crossed, something else was attached to close it.

This is the part a calculator cannot tell you. In 5 of these deals exactly one side had to attach something extra, and 5 of those 5 times it was the Josh Downs side (0 the other way). The side that keeps having to add is the side holding the lesser asset, so the market has been treating Kenneth Walker as the more valuable of the two.

24
Deals they were both in
0
Straight up, one for one
5 / 0
One side sweetened: Josh Downs / Kenneth Walker

What they cost today

Everything above is priced on the day each deal happened, which is the only honest way to grade a completed trade. It is not what they cost now. Today Josh Downs prices at 978 and Kenneth Walker at 5,659, so the market currently rates Kenneth Walker about 5.8x the other. A pair can lean one way across its history and price the opposite way now; that gap is the whole reason to check the deal in front of you rather than the deal someone made in 2023.

Values as of 2026-09-04.

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The deals themselves

DateMarginWent with Josh DownsWent with Kenneth Walker
2026-08-10-33%Quinshon JudkinsStefon Diggs
2026-07-01-32%1 1stChris Godwin
2026-05-08-83%Bucky IrvingJayden Higgins, 1 1st
2026-05-03-53%1 1st1 1st
2026-04-08+46%Kyler Murray, 2 3rdsTyler Shough
2026-03-15+25%Jaylen Waddle, Tank Dell, 2 1stsMichael Penix, Chuba Hubbard, Drake London
2026-02-05+67%Jerry Jeudy, Jaylen Waddle, Tyjae SpearsGunnar Helm
2025-09-12+8%Cam Skattebo, RJ Harvey, Elijah Arroyo, 2 moreTrey Benson, Theo Johnson, Keon Coleman, 1 more
2025-09-03-12%Saquon Barkley, Tyjae SpearsBreece Hall
2025-08-27-66%Derrick HenryJaylen Wright, Jake Ferguson, Jordan Addison, 1 2nd

Read each row as: Josh Downs, plus anything in the third column, was traded for Kenneth Walker plus anything in the fourth. An em dash means that side sent nobody else. Margin is the value gap at that day’s prices from the side that received Josh Downs; positive means that side came out ahead.

The whole-deal margin

Across all 24, the whole-deal value gap runs -24.9% from the side that received Josh Downs, so the side ending up with Kenneth Walker has generally come out ahead on face value. That measures the entire trade, every piece included, not these two players against each other.

Why this beats a calculator on this exact question

A calculator answers “is Josh Downs for Kenneth Walker fair” by subtracting one number from another, and it gives every manager in your league the same answer. That tells you nothing about whether the trade closes. What closes it is whether one side has to attach a piece, and which side that usually is. The 24 deals above are the record of what leagues actually agreed to when these two were on the table together.

How trade fairness actually works →

Full trade histories

Every Josh Downs trade · Every Kenneth Walker trade

Other matchups for these two

All players with real trade data →

Values from DynastyProcess and nflverse. Trades from public Sleeper leagues. When the data will not support a fair grade I leave it out and say so. Is this trade fair? · All players · Research · Privacy · Terms