Josh Downs and Tony Pollard have been on opposite sides of 20 real dynasty trades.
Not simulations and not a calculator lining up two numbers. Every one of them is a completed trade from a public Sleeper league, graded at the player values that were current on the day it happened.
Most of those were larger deals with other pieces attached. 3 of them were straight up: Josh Downs for Tony Pollard, nothing else changing hands.
In 1 of these deals exactly one side had to attach something extra, split 1 to 0 between the Josh Downs side and the Tony Pollard side. That is too close, and too small a sample, to call either player the more valuable.
Everything above is priced on the day each deal happened, which is the only honest way to grade a completed trade. It is not what they cost now. Today Josh Downs prices at 1,047 and Tony Pollard at 371, so the market currently rates Josh Downs about 2.8x the other. A pair can lean one way across its history and price the opposite way now; that gap is the whole reason to check the deal in front of you rather than the deal someone made in 2023.
Values as of 2026-07-24.
| Date | Margin | Went with Josh Downs | Went with Tony Pollard |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | +58% | Quentin Johnston | Isaac TeSlaa, Rico Dowdle |
| 2026-05-27 | -75% | Jonathon Brooks, Malik Washington, Marvin Mims | Derrick Henry, 1 2nd, 1 later pick |
| 2026-05-16 | -23% | Tank Bigsby | Jaylen Warren |
| 2026-05-07 | +19% | Jayden Reed, Jalen Tolbert, Lamar Jackson, 10 more | CeeDee Lamb, Bucky Irving, Tua Tagovailoa, 19 more |
| 2025-10-03 | +0% | — | — |
| 2025-09-21 | +52% | A.J. Brown | 1 1st |
| 2025-08-30 | -1% | Tre' Harris, 1 2nd | Courtland Sutton, 1 3rd |
| 2025-08-17 | -5% | 1 3rd | 1 2nd |
| 2025-08-07 | +12% | George Pickens | Davante Adams, 1 3rd |
| 2025-05-26 | +17% | 1 later pick | — |
Read each row as: Josh Downs, plus anything in the third column, was traded for Tony Pollard plus anything in the fourth. An em dash means that side sent nobody else. Margin is the value gap at that day’s prices from the side that received Josh Downs; positive means that side came out ahead.
Across all 20, the whole-deal value gap runs -8.7% from the side that received Josh Downs, so the side ending up with Tony Pollard has generally come out ahead on face value. That measures the entire trade, every piece included, not these two players against each other.
A calculator answers “is Josh Downs for Tony Pollard fair” by subtracting one number from another, and it gives every manager in your league the same answer. That tells you nothing about whether the trade closes. What closes it is whether one side has to attach a piece, and which side that usually is. The 20 deals above are the record of what leagues actually agreed to when these two were on the table together.
How trade fairness actually works →
Every Josh Downs trade · Every Tony Pollard trade
All players with real trade data →