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Is Josh Jacobs for Nick Chubb fair?

Josh Jacobs and Nick Chubb have been on opposite sides of 25 real dynasty trades.

Not simulations and not a calculator lining up two numbers. Every one of them is a completed trade from a public Sleeper league, graded at the player values that were current on the day it happened.

Most of those were larger deals with other pieces attached. 1 of them were straight up: Josh Jacobs for Nick Chubb, nothing else changing hands.

This is the part a calculator cannot tell you. In 6 of these deals exactly one side had to attach something extra, and 4 of those 6 times it was the Josh Jacobs side (2 the other way). The side that keeps having to add is the side holding the lesser asset, so the market has been treating Nick Chubb as the more valuable of the two.

25
Deals they were both in
1
Straight up, one for one
4 / 2
One side sweetened: Josh Jacobs / Nick Chubb
Grade Josh Jacobs for Nick Chubb now Scout your league

The deals themselves

DateMarginWent with Josh JacobsWent with Nick Chubb
2025-09-28+7%1 1st
2024-04-11+7%Kyler Murray, Najee HarrisRashee Rice, Derek Carr, Christian Watson, 1 1st
2024-01-25+42%2 2nds, 2 later picks
2023-11-17+1%1 3rd1 1st
2023-11-10+18%Jakobi Meyers1 1st
2023-09-21-44%Jimmy Garoppolo, Joe MixonDonald Parham, Donovan Peoples-Jones, Kadarius Toney, 2 more, 2 1sts, 1 2nd
2023-05-22+18%Mike Williams, Michael MayerGreg Dulcich, Quentin Johnston
2023-05-18+23%Kadarius Toney, 1 3rd, 1 later pickSkyy Moore, 1 2nd, 1 later pick
2022-07-10-9%Kyle Pitts, Jahan Dotson, Brian Robinson, 1 more, 1 3rdTravis Kelce, Drake London, Chris Olave
2022-05-20-6%1 1st, 1 later pick

Read each row as: Josh Jacobs, plus anything in the third column, was traded for Nick Chubb plus anything in the fourth. An em dash means that side sent nobody else. Margin is the value gap at that day’s prices from the side that received Josh Jacobs; positive means that side came out ahead.

The whole-deal margin

Across all 25, the whole-deal value gap runs -4.8% from the side that received Josh Jacobs, so the side ending up with Nick Chubb has generally come out ahead on face value. That measures the entire trade, every piece included, not these two players against each other.

Why this beats a calculator on this exact question

A calculator answers “is Josh Jacobs for Nick Chubb fair” by subtracting one number from another, and it gives every manager in your league the same answer. That tells you nothing about whether the trade closes. What closes it is whether one side has to attach a piece, and which side that usually is. The 25 deals above are the record of what leagues actually agreed to when these two were on the table together.

How trade fairness actually works →

Full trade histories

Every Josh Jacobs trade · Every Nick Chubb trade

Other matchups for these two

All players with real trade data →

Values from DynastyProcess and nflverse. Trades from public Sleeper leagues. When the data will not support a fair grade I leave it out and say so. Is this trade fair? · All players · Research · Privacy · Terms