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Is Keenan Allen for Mike Williams fair?

Keenan Allen and Mike Williams have been on opposite sides of 23 real dynasty trades.

Not simulations and not a calculator lining up two numbers. Every one of them is a completed trade from a public Sleeper league, graded at the player values that were current on the day it happened.

None of them were a straight one-for-one. Every time these two crossed, something else was attached to close it.

In 1 of these deals exactly one side had to attach something extra, split 0 to 1 between the Keenan Allen side and the Mike Williams side. That is too close, and too small a sample, to call either player the more valuable.

23
Deals they were both in
0
Straight up, one for one
0 / 1
One side sweetened: Keenan Allen / Mike Williams
Grade Keenan Allen for Mike Williams now Scout your league

The deals themselves

DateMarginWent with Keenan AllenWent with Mike Williams
2025-02-07-1%Demarcus Robinson, Theo Johnson, Will Shipley, 4 more, 4 1sts, 2 2nds, 3 3rds, 3 later picksIsaiah Davis, Jaylen Waddle, Brandin Cooks, 10 more, 2 1sts, 4 3rds, 1 later pick
2024-07-19-44%Odell Beckham, Evan Engram, Tony PollardKyle Pitts, Khalil Herbert, Rhamondre Stevenson
2024-03-28-10%Jahmyr Gibbs, 1 3rdTyreek Hill, Cooper Kupp, Matthew Stafford, 1 3rd
2024-03-19+16%Amari Cooper, Kyren Williams, Will LevisDallas Goedert, Romeo Doubs, Zach Charbonnet, 1 1st, 1 2nd
2024-02-02-43%Mike Evans, Jared Goff, Cooper Kupp, 4 moreChris Godwin, Noah Fant, AJ Dillon, 5 more, 2 1sts, 1 2nd
2023-11-28+16%Saquon BarkleyJaylen Waddle
2023-10-05+29%Davante Adams, Saquon BarkleyCourtland Sutton, Rhamondre Stevenson, 1 1st, 1 2nd
2023-05-31-70%Russell Wilson, 1 1stTrevor Lawrence, 1 2nd
2023-05-22-92%Samaje Perine, Daniel BellingerDavid Montgomery, Trey McBride
2023-02-08-62%1 2ndTyler Lockett

Read each row as: Keenan Allen, plus anything in the third column, was traded for Mike Williams plus anything in the fourth. An em dash means that side sent nobody else. Margin is the value gap at that day’s prices from the side that received Keenan Allen; positive means that side came out ahead.

The whole-deal margin

Across all 23, the whole-deal value gap runs -0.8% from the side that received Keenan Allen - close to even. Read that as a measure of the entire trade, every piece included, not of these two players against each other.

Why this beats a calculator on this exact question

A calculator answers “is Keenan Allen for Mike Williams fair” by subtracting one number from another, and it gives every manager in your league the same answer. That tells you nothing about whether the trade closes. What closes it is whether one side has to attach a piece, and which side that usually is. The 23 deals above are the record of what leagues actually agreed to when these two were on the table together.

How trade fairness actually works →

Full trade histories

Every Keenan Allen trade · Every Mike Williams trade

Other matchups for these two

All players with real trade data →

Values from DynastyProcess and nflverse. Trades from public Sleeper leagues. When the data will not support a fair grade I leave it out and say so. Is this trade fair? · All players · Privacy · Terms