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Is Tucker Kraft for Tyler Warren fair?

Tucker Kraft and Tyler Warren have been on opposite sides of 22 real dynasty trades.

Not simulations and not a calculator lining up two numbers. Every one of them is a completed trade from a public Sleeper league, graded at the player values that were current on the day it happened.

None of them were a straight one-for-one. Every time these two crossed, something else was attached to close it.

This is the part a calculator cannot tell you. In 4 of these deals exactly one side had to attach something extra, and 4 of those 4 times it was the Tucker Kraft side (0 the other way). The side that keeps having to add is the side holding the lesser asset, so the market has been treating Tyler Warren as the more valuable of the two.

22
Deals they were both in
0
Straight up, one for one
4 / 0
One side sweetened: Tucker Kraft / Tyler Warren

What they cost today

Everything above is priced on the day each deal happened, which is the only honest way to grade a completed trade. It is not what they cost now. Today Tucker Kraft prices at 2,994 and Tyler Warren at 3,304, so the market currently rates Tyler Warren about 1.1x the other. A pair can lean one way across its history and price the opposite way now; that gap is the whole reason to check the deal in front of you rather than the deal someone made in 2023.

Values as of 2026-09-04.

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The deals themselves

DateMarginWent with Tucker KraftWent with Tyler Warren
2026-09-09+12%Bhayshul TutenAdonai Mitchell, Chuba Hubbard
2026-09-08+54%Caleb WilliamsTy Simpson, 1 1st
2026-08-21+2%Jakobi Meyers, T.J. EdwardsRoquan Smith, 1 3rd
2026-05-17+14%1 1st, 1 3rd1 1st
2026-05-15+25%Bo Nix, 1 3rd1 later pick
2026-05-10-12%Chimere Dike, 1 3rdKendrick Bourne
2026-05-10-8%Chimere Dike, 2 1sts2 1sts, 1 2nd, 1 3rd
2026-05-09+4%Bo Nix, Ollie Gordon, 1 1stJaxson Dart, 1 1st
2026-05-02-19%Cam Ward, Kyler Murray, 1 1st, 1 2ndCaleb Williams, Adonai Mitchell, 1 1st, 1 3rd, 1 later pick
2026-04-23-19%1 1st1 1st

Read each row as: Tucker Kraft, plus anything in the third column, was traded for Tyler Warren plus anything in the fourth. An em dash means that side sent nobody else. Margin is the value gap at that day’s prices from the side that received Tucker Kraft; positive means that side came out ahead.

The whole-deal margin

Across all 22, the whole-deal value gap runs +10.8% from the side that received Tucker Kraft, so the side ending up with Tucker Kraft has generally come out ahead on face value. That measures the entire trade, every piece included, not these two players against each other.

Why this beats a calculator on this exact question

A calculator answers “is Tucker Kraft for Tyler Warren fair” by subtracting one number from another, and it gives every manager in your league the same answer. That tells you nothing about whether the trade closes. What closes it is whether one side has to attach a piece, and which side that usually is. The 22 deals above are the record of what leagues actually agreed to when these two were on the table together.

How trade fairness actually works →

Full trade histories

Every Tucker Kraft trade · Every Tyler Warren trade

Other matchups for these two

All players with real trade data →

Values from DynastyProcess and nflverse. Trades from public Sleeper leagues. When the data will not support a fair grade I leave it out and say so. Is this trade fair? · All players · Research · Privacy · Terms