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Is Aaron Jones for Ezekiel Elliott fair?

Aaron Jones and Ezekiel Elliott have been on opposite sides of 22 real dynasty trades.

Not simulations and not a calculator lining up two numbers. Every one of them is a completed trade from a public Sleeper league, graded at the player values that were current on the day it happened.

Most of those were larger deals with other pieces attached. 2 of them were straight up: Aaron Jones for Ezekiel Elliott, nothing else changing hands.

In 2 of these deals exactly one side had to attach something extra, split 1 to 1 between the Aaron Jones side and the Ezekiel Elliott side. That is too close, and too small a sample, to call either player the more valuable.

22
Deals they were both in
2
Straight up, one for one
1 / 1
One side sweetened: Aaron Jones / Ezekiel Elliott
Grade Aaron Jones for Ezekiel Elliott now Scout your league

The deals themselves

DateMarginWent with Aaron JonesWent with Ezekiel Elliott
2024-08-29+168%Luke McCaffreyGreg Dortch
2024-05-07-18%Kyler Murray, Jerome FordTyler Lockett, Joe Burrow
2023-01-13+64%Marquise Brown, Jack SanbornJames Cook, 1 2nd
2022-09-10+12%Justin Jefferson, Cole KmetRobert Tonyan, A.J. Brown, Jerry Jeudy
2022-07-08-42%Tyler Allgeier, Chris OlaveSaquon Barkley, Marquez Valdes-Scantling, 1 3rd
2022-06-02+28%
2022-02-18+24%
2022-02-10+4%Kyler MurrayMac Jones, Justin Fields, 1 1st
2021-11-21+57%J.K. Dobbins, 1 2ndBryan Edwards
2021-10-12+10%Cooper Kupp, Sam Darnold, Damien HarrisAllen Robinson, Mike Davis, Jalen Hurts

Read each row as: Aaron Jones, plus anything in the third column, was traded for Ezekiel Elliott plus anything in the fourth. An em dash means that side sent nobody else. Margin is the value gap at that day’s prices from the side that received Aaron Jones; positive means that side came out ahead.

The whole-deal margin

Across all 22, the whole-deal value gap runs +14.9% from the side that received Aaron Jones, so the side ending up with Aaron Jones has generally come out ahead on face value. That measures the entire trade, every piece included, not these two players against each other.

Why this beats a calculator on this exact question

A calculator answers “is Aaron Jones for Ezekiel Elliott fair” by subtracting one number from another, and it gives every manager in your league the same answer. That tells you nothing about whether the trade closes. What closes it is whether one side has to attach a piece, and which side that usually is. The 22 deals above are the record of what leagues actually agreed to when these two were on the table together.

How trade fairness actually works →

Full trade histories

Every Aaron Jones trade · Every Ezekiel Elliott trade

Other matchups for these two

All players with real trade data →

Values from DynastyProcess and nflverse. Trades from public Sleeper leagues. When the data will not support a fair grade I leave it out and say so. Is this trade fair? · All players · Research · Privacy · Terms