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Is Aaron Jones for Terry McLaurin fair?

Aaron Jones and Terry McLaurin have been on opposite sides of 23 real dynasty trades.

Not simulations and not a calculator lining up two numbers. Every one of them is a completed trade from a public Sleeper league, graded at the player values that were current on the day it happened.

Most of those were larger deals with other pieces attached. 3 of them were straight up: Aaron Jones for Terry McLaurin, nothing else changing hands.

In 3 of these deals exactly one side had to attach something extra, split 2 to 1 between the Aaron Jones side and the Terry McLaurin side. That is too close, and too small a sample, to call either player the more valuable.

23
Deals they were both in
3
Straight up, one for one
2 / 1
One side sweetened: Aaron Jones / Terry McLaurin

What they cost today

Everything above is priced on the day each deal happened, which is the only honest way to grade a completed trade. It is not what they cost now. Today Aaron Jones prices at 123 and Terry McLaurin at 1,768, so the market currently rates Terry McLaurin about 14.4x the other. A pair can lean one way across its history and price the opposite way now; that gap is the whole reason to check the deal in front of you rather than the deal someone made in 2023.

Values as of 2026-07-24.

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The deals themselves

DateMarginWent with Aaron JonesWent with Terry McLaurin
2025-11-20-140%1 later pick
2025-10-19-25%Marvin Harrison, Jaxson Dart, Emeka EgbukaRashee Rice, Dak Prescott, Nico Collins
2025-05-24+27%Kyler Murray, Jaylen Warren, 1 2ndDerrick Henry, 2 2nds
2025-05-20-72%Will Shipley, Jalen McMillan, Xavier Worthy, 8 more, 1 3rdSam LaPorta, MarShawn Lloyd, Malachi Corley, 9 more, 1 3rd, 1 later pick
2024-12-02+40%1 1st
2024-08-28-36%Jerome FordJaylen Wright
2024-05-04-97%Courtland Sutton, 2 2ndsJonathan Taylor
2024-01-30+0%Jordan Love, Brian Robinson, 1 3rdBaker Mayfield, Will Levis, 1 1st
2023-12-28-34%Gerald Everett
2023-11-05-40%

Read each row as: Aaron Jones, plus anything in the third column, was traded for Terry McLaurin plus anything in the fourth. An em dash means that side sent nobody else. Margin is the value gap at that day’s prices from the side that received Aaron Jones; positive means that side came out ahead.

The whole-deal margin

Across all 23, the whole-deal value gap runs -33.8% from the side that received Aaron Jones, so the side ending up with Terry McLaurin has generally come out ahead on face value. That measures the entire trade, every piece included, not these two players against each other.

Why this beats a calculator on this exact question

A calculator answers “is Aaron Jones for Terry McLaurin fair” by subtracting one number from another, and it gives every manager in your league the same answer. That tells you nothing about whether the trade closes. What closes it is whether one side has to attach a piece, and which side that usually is. The 23 deals above are the record of what leagues actually agreed to when these two were on the table together.

How trade fairness actually works →

Full trade histories

Every Aaron Jones trade · Every Terry McLaurin trade

Other matchups for these two

All players with real trade data →

Values from DynastyProcess and nflverse. Trades from public Sleeper leagues. When the data will not support a fair grade I leave it out and say so. Is this trade fair? · All players · Privacy · Terms