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Is A.J. Brown for Brian Thomas fair?

A.J. Brown and Brian Thomas have been on opposite sides of 26 real dynasty trades.

Not simulations and not a calculator lining up two numbers. Every one of them is a completed trade from a public Sleeper league, graded at the player values that were current on the day it happened.

Most of those were larger deals with other pieces attached. 2 of them were straight up: A.J. Brown for Brian Thomas, nothing else changing hands.

In 4 of these deals exactly one side had to attach something extra, split 2 to 2 between the A.J. Brown side and the Brian Thomas side. That is too close, and too small a sample, to call either player the more valuable.

26
Deals they were both in
2
Straight up, one for one
2 / 2
One side sweetened: A.J. Brown / Brian Thomas

What they cost today

Everything above is priced on the day each deal happened, which is the only honest way to grade a completed trade. It is not what they cost now. Today A.J. Brown prices at 5,646 and Brian Thomas at 2,662, so the market currently rates A.J. Brown about 2.1x the other. A pair can lean one way across its history and price the opposite way now; that gap is the whole reason to check the deal in front of you rather than the deal someone made in 2023.

Values as of 2026-07-24.

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The deals themselves

DateMarginWent with A.J. BrownWent with Brian Thomas
2026-07-16+63%Dylan Sampson
2026-06-05+14%Emanuel Wilson, David Njoku, Nico Collins, 1 moreDalton Kincaid, George Kittle, 1 1st, 2 2nds
2026-06-03+63%
2026-05-27+65%Aaron JonesTahj Brooks
2026-05-20+53%1 3rdTyrone Tracy
2026-05-19+62%
2026-04-29+1%Rashee Rice, Kyler Murray, Zach CharbonnetLadd McConkey, 1 1st, 1 2nd
2026-04-25+1%George Kittle, Breece Hall1 1st, 2 3rds
2026-04-08+23%DK Metcalf1 2nd
2026-03-02+14%Brock Bowers, 1 1st, 2 2nds, 1 3rdMarvin Harrison, Oronde Gadsden, Jaxson Dart

Read each row as: A.J. Brown, plus anything in the third column, was traded for Brian Thomas plus anything in the fourth. An em dash means that side sent nobody else. Margin is the value gap at that day’s prices from the side that received A.J. Brown; positive means that side came out ahead.

The whole-deal margin

Across all 26, the whole-deal value gap runs +13.9% from the side that received A.J. Brown, so the side ending up with A.J. Brown has generally come out ahead on face value. That measures the entire trade, every piece included, not these two players against each other.

Why this beats a calculator on this exact question

A calculator answers “is A.J. Brown for Brian Thomas fair” by subtracting one number from another, and it gives every manager in your league the same answer. That tells you nothing about whether the trade closes. What closes it is whether one side has to attach a piece, and which side that usually is. The 26 deals above are the record of what leagues actually agreed to when these two were on the table together.

How trade fairness actually works →

Full trade histories

Every A.J. Brown trade · Every Brian Thomas trade

Other matchups for these two

All players with real trade data →

Values from DynastyProcess and nflverse. Trades from public Sleeper leagues. When the data will not support a fair grade I leave it out and say so. Is this trade fair? · All players · Privacy · Terms