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Is A.J. Brown for Kyler Murray fair?

A.J. Brown and Kyler Murray have been on opposite sides of 24 real dynasty trades.

Not simulations and not a calculator lining up two numbers. Every one of them is a completed trade from a public Sleeper league, graded at the player values that were current on the day it happened.

Most of those were larger deals with other pieces attached. 1 of them were straight up: A.J. Brown for Kyler Murray, nothing else changing hands.

In 4 of these deals exactly one side had to attach something extra, split 2 to 2 between the A.J. Brown side and the Kyler Murray side. That is too close, and too small a sample, to call either player the more valuable.

24
Deals they were both in
1
Straight up, one for one
2 / 2
One side sweetened: A.J. Brown / Kyler Murray

What they cost today

Everything above is priced on the day each deal happened, which is the only honest way to grade a completed trade. It is not what they cost now. Today A.J. Brown prices at 5,646 and Kyler Murray at 505, so the market currently rates A.J. Brown about 11.2x the other. A pair can lean one way across its history and price the opposite way now; that gap is the whole reason to check the deal in front of you rather than the deal someone made in 2023.

Values as of 2026-07-24.

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The deals themselves

DateMarginWent with A.J. BrownWent with Kyler Murray
2026-07-17+48%Theo Johnson, Romeo Doubs, Bijan RobinsonXavier Worthy, Bhayshul Tuten, Jonah Coleman, 1 more
2026-06-05+12%Carson BeckChris Brooks, Courtland Sutton
2026-05-19+63%Jerry Jeudy, Brian Robinson, Trey Benson, 15 moreJake Tonges, Jaylen Waddle, TreVeyon Henderson, 9 more
2026-05-17-19%Sam Darnold, Devin Singletary, Michael Wilson, 17 more, 2 1sts, 1 later pickCooper Rush, Ja'Marr Chase, Jalen Tolbert, 19 more, 1 2nd, 2 3rds, 1 later pick
2026-05-12+18%Caleb Williams, Kyren WilliamsJaylen Waddle, 2 1sts
2026-05-04+22%Davante Adams1 2nd
2026-03-10-61%Tyler Shough, D'Andre SwiftCeeDee Lamb, 1 2nd
2025-12-04+15%Baker Mayfield, Michael Pittman, Chig OkonkwoMarvin Harrison, Oronde Gadsden, Kaleb Johnson
2025-08-09-24%Jalen Milroe, Alvin Kamara, 1 1stJ.K. Dobbins, Garrett Wilson, 1 2nd
2024-11-24+7%Jalen Hurts, Romeo Doubs, Kyren WilliamsXavier Worthy, Brian Thomas, 2 1sts, 1 2nd

Read each row as: A.J. Brown, plus anything in the third column, was traded for Kyler Murray plus anything in the fourth. An em dash means that side sent nobody else. Margin is the value gap at that day’s prices from the side that received A.J. Brown; positive means that side came out ahead.

The whole-deal margin

Across all 24, the whole-deal value gap runs +15.0% from the side that received A.J. Brown, so the side ending up with A.J. Brown has generally come out ahead on face value. That measures the entire trade, every piece included, not these two players against each other.

Why this beats a calculator on this exact question

A calculator answers “is A.J. Brown for Kyler Murray fair” by subtracting one number from another, and it gives every manager in your league the same answer. That tells you nothing about whether the trade closes. What closes it is whether one side has to attach a piece, and which side that usually is. The 24 deals above are the record of what leagues actually agreed to when these two were on the table together.

How trade fairness actually works →

Full trade histories

Every A.J. Brown trade · Every Kyler Murray trade

Other matchups for these two

All players with real trade data →

Values from DynastyProcess and nflverse. Trades from public Sleeper leagues. When the data will not support a fair grade I leave it out and say so. Is this trade fair? · All players · Privacy · Terms