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Is Kyler Murray for Lamar Jackson fair?

Kyler Murray and Lamar Jackson have been on opposite sides of 58 real dynasty trades.

Not simulations and not a calculator lining up two numbers. Every one of them is a completed trade from a public Sleeper league, graded at the player values that were current on the day it happened.

None of them were a straight one-for-one. Every time these two crossed, something else was attached to close it.

This is the part a calculator cannot tell you. In 17 of these deals exactly one side had to attach something extra, and 16 of those 17 times it was the Kyler Murray side (1 the other way). The side that keeps having to add is the side holding the lesser asset, so the market has been treating Lamar Jackson as the more valuable of the two.

58
Deals they were both in
0
Straight up, one for one
16 / 1
One side sweetened: Kyler Murray / Lamar Jackson

What they cost today

Everything above is priced on the day each deal happened, which is the only honest way to grade a completed trade. It is not what they cost now. Today Kyler Murray prices at 505 and Lamar Jackson at 4,824, so the market currently rates Lamar Jackson about 9.6x the other. A pair can lean one way across its history and price the opposite way now; that gap is the whole reason to check the deal in front of you rather than the deal someone made in 2023.

Values as of 2026-07-24.

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The deals themselves

DateMarginWent with Kyler MurrayWent with Lamar Jackson
2026-07-22-13%Colby Parkinson, Chase Brown, Jaxon Smith-NjigbaEmeka Egbuka, D'Andre Swift, Kyle Pitts, 2 more
2026-01-14+15%Marvin Harrison, Jacoby Brissett, 1 1st, 1 2nd1 3rd, 1 later pick
2025-11-12-73%Jacoby Brissett, Kenneth Walker, 1 2ndJordan Addison, 1 3rd
2025-10-29+3%Gunnar Helm, 2 1stsJake Ferguson
2025-09-23-8%KeAndre Lambert-Smith, Jameson Williams, Tyjae Spears, 1 1st
2025-09-15+8%2 1sts
2025-08-02-3%CeeDee Lamb, 1 2ndLadd McConkey, 1 later pick
2025-07-10+3%Malik Nabers, Saquon Barkley, Najee Harris, 1 moreCeeDee Lamb, Breece Hall
2025-06-24+20%2 1sts, 1 3rdDerrick Henry
2025-05-05-20%Alvin Kamara, George Kittle, Jameson WilliamsNoah Fant, Darnell Mooney, Kyren Williams

Read each row as: Kyler Murray, plus anything in the third column, was traded for Lamar Jackson plus anything in the fourth. An em dash means that side sent nobody else. Margin is the value gap at that day’s prices from the side that received Kyler Murray; positive means that side came out ahead.

The whole-deal margin

Across all 58, the whole-deal value gap runs -0.8% from the side that received Kyler Murray - close to even. Read that as a measure of the entire trade, every piece included, not of these two players against each other.

Why this beats a calculator on this exact question

A calculator answers “is Kyler Murray for Lamar Jackson fair” by subtracting one number from another, and it gives every manager in your league the same answer. That tells you nothing about whether the trade closes. What closes it is whether one side has to attach a piece, and which side that usually is. The 58 deals above are the record of what leagues actually agreed to when these two were on the table together.

How trade fairness actually works →

Full trade histories

Every Kyler Murray trade · Every Lamar Jackson trade

Other matchups for these two

All players with real trade data →

Values from DynastyProcess and nflverse. Trades from public Sleeper leagues. When the data will not support a fair grade I leave it out and say so. Is this trade fair? · All players · Privacy · Terms