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Is Joe Burrow for Kyler Murray fair?

Joe Burrow and Kyler Murray have been on opposite sides of 87 real dynasty trades.

Not simulations and not a calculator lining up two numbers. Every one of them is a completed trade from a public Sleeper league, graded at the player values that were current on the day it happened.

Most of those were larger deals with other pieces attached. 7 of them were straight up: Joe Burrow for Kyler Murray, nothing else changing hands.

This is the part a calculator cannot tell you. In 28 of these deals exactly one side had to attach something extra, and 23 of those 28 times it was the Kyler Murray side (5 the other way). The side that keeps having to add is the side holding the lesser asset, so the market has been treating Joe Burrow as the more valuable of the two.

87
Deals they were both in
7
Straight up, one for one
5 / 23
One side sweetened: Joe Burrow / Kyler Murray

What they cost today

Everything above is priced on the day each deal happened, which is the only honest way to grade a completed trade. It is not what they cost now. Today Joe Burrow prices at 3,751 and Kyler Murray at 505, so the market currently rates Joe Burrow about 7.4x the other. A pair can lean one way across its history and price the opposite way now; that gap is the whole reason to check the deal in front of you rather than the deal someone made in 2023.

Values as of 2026-07-24.

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The deals themselves

DateMarginWent with Joe BurrowWent with Kyler Murray
2025-10-23+34%Josh Downs, 2 3rds
2025-10-13+106%1 1st, 1 later pick
2025-10-05+22%Malik Nabers, 1 3rdJakobi Meyers, Jaxon Smith-Njigba
2025-09-19+15%Brandon AiyukKenneth Walker, Zach Charbonnet
2025-09-19-13%Oronde Gadsden, Jalen Milroe, Tank Dell, 1 3rdDrake Maye, Miles Sanders, Chig Okonkwo
2025-09-17+4%Jalen Coker, 1 1st
2025-09-15+8%Jake Browning, 1 later pickJacoby Brissett, Rashid Shaheed, 1 1st, 1 3rd
2025-03-22-27%1 3rdBreece Hall
2024-09-27+17%Isaac Guerendo, Jake Browning, Tee Higgins, 1 more, 1 1stRoschon Johnson, DeVonta Smith, Zay Flowers, 1 2nd
2024-05-05+14%Amari Cooper, 1 3rd

Read each row as: Joe Burrow, plus anything in the third column, was traded for Kyler Murray plus anything in the fourth. An em dash means that side sent nobody else. Margin is the value gap at that day’s prices from the side that received Joe Burrow; positive means that side came out ahead.

The whole-deal margin

Across all 87, the whole-deal value gap runs +17.6% from the side that received Joe Burrow, so the side ending up with Joe Burrow has generally come out ahead on face value. That measures the entire trade, every piece included, not these two players against each other.

Why this beats a calculator on this exact question

A calculator answers “is Joe Burrow for Kyler Murray fair” by subtracting one number from another, and it gives every manager in your league the same answer. That tells you nothing about whether the trade closes. What closes it is whether one side has to attach a piece, and which side that usually is. The 87 deals above are the record of what leagues actually agreed to when these two were on the table together.

How trade fairness actually works →

Full trade histories

Every Joe Burrow trade · Every Kyler Murray trade

Other matchups for these two

All players with real trade data →

Values from DynastyProcess and nflverse. Trades from public Sleeper leagues. When the data will not support a fair grade I leave it out and say so. Is this trade fair? · All players · Privacy · Terms