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Is AJ Dillon for Tony Pollard fair?

AJ Dillon and Tony Pollard have been on opposite sides of 20 real dynasty trades.

Not simulations and not a calculator lining up two numbers. Every one of them is a completed trade from a public Sleeper league, graded at the player values that were current on the day it happened.

None of them were a straight one-for-one. Every time these two crossed, something else was attached to close it.

In 1 of these deals exactly one side had to attach something extra, split 0 to 1 between the AJ Dillon side and the Tony Pollard side. That is too close, and too small a sample, to call either player the more valuable.

20
Deals they were both in
0
Straight up, one for one
0 / 1
One side sweetened: AJ Dillon / Tony Pollard

What they cost today

Everything above is priced on the day each deal happened, which is the only honest way to grade a completed trade. It is not what they cost now. Today AJ Dillon prices at 2 and Tony Pollard at 353, so the market currently rates Tony Pollard about 176.5x the other. A pair can lean one way across its history and price the opposite way now; that gap is the whole reason to check the deal in front of you rather than the deal someone made in 2023.

Values as of 2026-09-04.

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The deals themselves

DateMarginWent with AJ DillonWent with Tony Pollard
2023-10-30-88%Chris Godwin, Jakobi Meyers, Andy Dalton, 1 1stGeno Smith, Mike Evans, 1 1st
2023-10-09+1%Travis Kelce, Gabe DavisChris Godwin, Zach Wilson
2023-10-07-30%Daniel Bellinger, 1 1st, 1 2ndAdam Thielen
2023-07-08-58%Mike Evans, Alvin Kamara, 2 2ndsRashaad Penny, Chig Okonkwo, 1 3rd
2023-05-07+1%Kenneth Walker, 1 1stDK Metcalf, David Montgomery
2023-05-01-15%Chris Godwin, Isaiah Likely2 2nds
2023-04-03-48%Terry McLaurin, Jameson WilliamsAmon-Ra St. Brown, Wan'Dale Robinson
2023-03-18+25%Jaylen Waddle, 1 2nd, 1 3rd, 1 later pickDeebo Samuel
2022-10-29-26%Zach Wilson, 2 1stsJustin Herbert
2022-08-06+65%1 3rd1 2nd

Read each row as: AJ Dillon, plus anything in the third column, was traded for Tony Pollard plus anything in the fourth. An em dash means that side sent nobody else. Margin is the value gap at that day’s prices from the side that received AJ Dillon; positive means that side came out ahead.

The whole-deal margin

Across all 20, the whole-deal value gap runs -9.7% from the side that received AJ Dillon, so the side ending up with Tony Pollard has generally come out ahead on face value. That measures the entire trade, every piece included, not these two players against each other.

Why this beats a calculator on this exact question

A calculator answers “is AJ Dillon for Tony Pollard fair” by subtracting one number from another, and it gives every manager in your league the same answer. That tells you nothing about whether the trade closes. What closes it is whether one side has to attach a piece, and which side that usually is. The 20 deals above are the record of what leagues actually agreed to when these two were on the table together.

How trade fairness actually works →

Full trade histories

Every AJ Dillon trade · Every Tony Pollard trade

Other matchups for these two

All players with real trade data →

Values from DynastyProcess and nflverse. Trades from public Sleeper leagues. When the data will not support a fair grade I leave it out and say so. Is this trade fair? · All players · Research · Privacy · Terms