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Is Baker Mayfield for Josh Allen fair?

Baker Mayfield and Josh Allen have been on opposite sides of 24 real dynasty trades.

Not simulations and not a calculator lining up two numbers. Every one of them is a completed trade from a public Sleeper league, graded at the player values that were current on the day it happened.

None of them were a straight one-for-one. Every time these two crossed, something else was attached to close it.

This is the part a calculator cannot tell you. In 7 of these deals exactly one side had to attach something extra, and 7 of those 7 times it was the Baker Mayfield side (0 the other way). The side that keeps having to add is the side holding the lesser asset, so the market has been treating Josh Allen as the more valuable of the two.

24
Deals they were both in
0
Straight up, one for one
7 / 0
One side sweetened: Baker Mayfield / Josh Allen

What they cost today

Everything above is priced on the day each deal happened, which is the only honest way to grade a completed trade. It is not what they cost now. Today Baker Mayfield prices at 714 and Josh Allen at 6,878, so the market currently rates Josh Allen about 9.6x the other. A pair can lean one way across its history and price the opposite way now; that gap is the whole reason to check the deal in front of you rather than the deal someone made in 2023.

Values as of 2026-07-24.

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The deals themselves

DateMarginWent with Baker MayfieldWent with Josh Allen
2026-05-12-63%Antonio Williams, David Montgomery, Chig Okonkwo, 1 2nd, 1 3rd
2025-11-28+1%Sam Darnold, Tyjae Spears, 1 1st, 1 2ndKeon Coleman
2025-11-07+18%De'Von Achane, Bryce Young, Brenton StrangeMike Gesicki, Kenny Gainwell, Calvin Austin
2025-10-09-44%Jaylen Warren, 1 1st, 2 2nds, 2 3rdsRico Dowdle
2025-08-22-138%1 1st, 1 3rd
2025-05-22-23%Jerry Jeudy, Trevor Lawrence, Javonte Williams, 1 2ndChristian McCaffrey
2025-04-27+17%2 1sts
2025-04-19+21%CeeDee Lamb, 1 1st, 1 3rdTyrone Tracy, Mike Evans
2025-03-21+30%Marvin Harrison, 1 1st1 2nd
2024-02-09-29%David Njoku, Justin Herbert, DeVonta SmithTyreek Hill, 1 2nd, 1 3rd

Read each row as: Baker Mayfield, plus anything in the third column, was traded for Josh Allen plus anything in the fourth. An em dash means that side sent nobody else. Margin is the value gap at that day’s prices from the side that received Baker Mayfield; positive means that side came out ahead.

The whole-deal margin

Across all 24, the whole-deal value gap runs -0.1% from the side that received Baker Mayfield - close to even. Read that as a measure of the entire trade, every piece included, not of these two players against each other.

Why this beats a calculator on this exact question

A calculator answers “is Baker Mayfield for Josh Allen fair” by subtracting one number from another, and it gives every manager in your league the same answer. That tells you nothing about whether the trade closes. What closes it is whether one side has to attach a piece, and which side that usually is. The 24 deals above are the record of what leagues actually agreed to when these two were on the table together.

How trade fairness actually works →

Full trade histories

Every Baker Mayfield trade · Every Josh Allen trade

Other matchups for these two

All players with real trade data →

Values from DynastyProcess and nflverse. Trades from public Sleeper leagues. When the data will not support a fair grade I leave it out and say so. Is this trade fair? · All players · Privacy · Terms