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Is Josh Allen for Lamar Jackson fair?

Josh Allen and Lamar Jackson have been on opposite sides of 48 real dynasty trades.

Not simulations and not a calculator lining up two numbers. Every one of them is a completed trade from a public Sleeper league, graded at the player values that were current on the day it happened.

Most of those were larger deals with other pieces attached. 2 of them were straight up: Josh Allen for Lamar Jackson, nothing else changing hands.

This is the part a calculator cannot tell you. In 7 of these deals exactly one side had to attach something extra, and 7 of those 7 times it was the Lamar Jackson side (0 the other way). The side that keeps having to add is the side holding the lesser asset, so the market has been treating Josh Allen as the more valuable of the two.

48
Deals they were both in
2
Straight up, one for one
0 / 7
One side sweetened: Josh Allen / Lamar Jackson

What they cost today

Everything above is priced on the day each deal happened, which is the only honest way to grade a completed trade. It is not what they cost now. Today Josh Allen prices at 6,878 and Lamar Jackson at 4,824, so the market currently rates Josh Allen about 1.4x the other. A pair can lean one way across its history and price the opposite way now; that gap is the whole reason to check the deal in front of you rather than the deal someone made in 2023.

Values as of 2026-07-24.

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The deals themselves

DateMarginWent with Josh AllenWent with Lamar Jackson
2026-06-28+22%Chris Brooks, Isaac TeSlaa, Sean Tucker, 6 moreDeMario Douglas, Deebo Samuel, Tucker Kraft, 8 more, 3 later picks
2026-05-02-11%Jauan Jennings, De'Von AchanePuka Nacua
2026-04-20-13%Brian Thomas, Omarion HamptonAmon-Ra St. Brown, Breece Hall
2026-04-19-19%Omarion Hampton, Dallas GoedertTrey McBride, 1 1st, 1 3rd
2025-11-30+2%Jaylin Noel, Chimere Dike, Tyler Huntley
2025-10-25+6%Drake London, 1 3rdXavier Worthy, Kendre Miller, 1 1st
2025-09-30-22%Dak Prescott, Chris Godwin, Josh Jacobs, 1 moreDalton Kincaid, J.J. McCarthy, Malik Nabers
2025-09-30-1%Trevor LawrenceBrock Purdy, 1 2nd
2025-08-26+3%1 3rd1 2nd
2025-05-10+3%Jalen Coker, Christian Kirk, Travis EtienneTheo Johnson, Justin Fields

Read each row as: Josh Allen, plus anything in the third column, was traded for Lamar Jackson plus anything in the fourth. An em dash means that side sent nobody else. Margin is the value gap at that day’s prices from the side that received Josh Allen; positive means that side came out ahead.

The whole-deal margin

Across all 48, the whole-deal value gap runs -1.2% from the side that received Josh Allen - close to even. Read that as a measure of the entire trade, every piece included, not of these two players against each other.

Why this beats a calculator on this exact question

A calculator answers “is Josh Allen for Lamar Jackson fair” by subtracting one number from another, and it gives every manager in your league the same answer. That tells you nothing about whether the trade closes. What closes it is whether one side has to attach a piece, and which side that usually is. The 48 deals above are the record of what leagues actually agreed to when these two were on the table together.

How trade fairness actually works →

Full trade histories

Every Josh Allen trade · Every Lamar Jackson trade

Other matchups for these two

All players with real trade data →

Values from DynastyProcess and nflverse. Trades from public Sleeper leagues. When the data will not support a fair grade I leave it out and say so. Is this trade fair? · All players · Privacy · Terms